Uploaded March 2026 | Updated September 2026, 2 weeks ago
For educational purposes only. If you live in the affected areas, please stay tuned to your local National Weather Service office for the most accurate and up-to-date information.
A widespread severe weather outbreak is expected to take place today and tomorrow (Sunday, March 15 - Monday, March 16) across a broad swath of the eastern US. Today, a large Enhanced Risk (level 3/5) is centered across the Mid-South. An intense QLCS is expected to develop on an eastward surging cold front. Incredibly impressive dynamics should foster damaging winds and tornadoes, both of which could be significant. A separate Enhanced Risk exists in the southeast Alabama vicinity, where a few warm sector supercells with all hazards are possible overnight.
Tomorrow, a Moderate Risk (level 4/5) has been outlined in the Mid-Atlantic. The QLCS should become reinvigorated late tomorrow morning into the afternoon, posing an extremely elevated risk for widespread damaging winds and a few tornadoes. There is also a risk for warm sector supercells with all hazards ahead of the line.
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Chapters
0:00 Introduction, risk areas
7:43 Discussion of today's setup
32:06 Discussion of Monday's setup
40:13 Convection-allowing model analysis
45:57 Wrap-up
For educational purposes only. If you live in the affected areas, please stay tuned to your local National Weather Service office for the most accurate and up-to-date information.
A widespread severe weather outbreak is expected to take place today and tomorrow (Sunday, March 15 - Monday, March 16) across a broad swath of the eastern US. Today, a large Enhanced Risk (level 3/5) is centered across the Mid-South. An intense QLCS is expected to develop on an eastward surging cold front. Incredibly impressive dynamics should foster damaging winds and tornadoes, both of which could be significant. A separate Enhanced Risk exists in the southeast Alabama vicinity, where a few warm sector supercells with all hazards are possible overnight.
Tomorrow, a Moderate Risk (level 4/5) has been outlined in the Mid-Atlantic. The QLCS should become reinvigorated late tomorrow morning into the afternoon, posing an extremely elevated risk for widespread damaging winds and a few tornadoes. There is also a risk for warm sector supercells with all hazards ahead of the line.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Become a Patreon member today to support the channel: patreon.com/convectivechronicles
Facebook: facebook.com/ConvectiveChronicles
X: twitter.com/ConvChronicles
Instagram: instagram.com/convectivechronicles
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Chapters
0:00 Introduction, risk areas
7:43 Discussion of today's setup
32:06 Discussion of Monday's setup
40:13 Convection-allowing model analysis
45:57 Wrap-up
