Forecast Discussion - April 14, 2026 - Widespread, Intense Severe Weather Continues @ConvectiveChronicles
Forecast Discussion - April 14, 2026 - Widespread, Intense Severe Weather Continues  @ConvectiveChronicles
Uploaded April 2026 | Updated September 2026, 2 weeks ago
For educational purposes only. If you live in the affected areas, please stay tuned to your local National Weather Service office for the most accurate and up-to-date information.

Widespread, intense severe storms are possible today from the Great Lakes to the Southern Plains as our severe weather sequence continues. SPC has outlined Enhanced Risks (level 3/5) in two areas for today, one from Iowa to Michigan and one centered on western Oklahoma. In the northern mode, robust supercells are possible near a warm front/outflow boundary, posing a risk for tornadoes, some of which could be intense, as well as large to giant hail and damaging winds. In the southern mode, supercells with a large to giant hail risk are expected by mid-afternoon along the dryline; the tornado threat may increase by early evening as the low-level jet ramps up.

The threat continues tomorrow from the Midwest to the Southern Plains; mixed-mode convection is forecast along a cold front and dryline. Large hail and damaging winds should be the main threats, with a low-end tornado risk, as well.

After a bit of a down day Thursday, another trough will make its way into the central US, interacting with a broad, strongly-sheared warm sector. Widespread severe weather with significant hazards is becoming increasingly likely on Friday, with the threat continuing into Saturday.

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Chapters

0:00 Introduction, risk areas
6:03 Discussion of today's setup
35:24 Discussion of tomorrow's setup (Wednesday)
41:43 Discussion of Friday-Saturday setups
43:55 Wrap-up
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Forecast Discussion - April 14, 2026 - Widespread, Intense Severe Weather Continues

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