Uploaded March 2024 | Updated September 2026, 2 weeks ago
For educational purposes only. If you live in the affected areas, please stay tuned to your local National Weather Service office for the most accurate and up-to-date information.
Back-to-back days of significant severe weather will begin today (Wednesday, March 13) across Kansas and Missouri before shifting into Oklahoma and Arkansas tomorrow (Thursday, March 14). Today, supercells are expected to fire ahead of a surface low/triple point and along the warm front draped across northern Kansas into western Missouri. All hazards are possible with these supercells, including a few tornadoes and large to very large hail. A very conditional all-hazards risk remains farther south along the dryline from southern Kansas into Oklahoma, but thermodynamic issues should preclude storm formation there.
Tomorrow, a moisture-rich, strongly unstable airmass will be in place ahead of the dryline and surface low. Storms are expected to initiate in the warm sector across Oklahoma and Arkansas down into northeast Texas with an all-hazards risk, including significant severe hail. Farther north, storms with mainly a hail and wind risk will be possible, especially along any outflow boundaries from morning convection.
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Contents
0:00 Introduction
3:13 Deep dive into today's threat
35:24 Discussion of tomorrow's threat
48:51 Wrap-up
For educational purposes only. If you live in the affected areas, please stay tuned to your local National Weather Service office for the most accurate and up-to-date information.
Back-to-back days of significant severe weather will begin today (Wednesday, March 13) across Kansas and Missouri before shifting into Oklahoma and Arkansas tomorrow (Thursday, March 14). Today, supercells are expected to fire ahead of a surface low/triple point and along the warm front draped across northern Kansas into western Missouri. All hazards are possible with these supercells, including a few tornadoes and large to very large hail. A very conditional all-hazards risk remains farther south along the dryline from southern Kansas into Oklahoma, but thermodynamic issues should preclude storm formation there.
Tomorrow, a moisture-rich, strongly unstable airmass will be in place ahead of the dryline and surface low. Storms are expected to initiate in the warm sector across Oklahoma and Arkansas down into northeast Texas with an all-hazards risk, including significant severe hail. Farther north, storms with mainly a hail and wind risk will be possible, especially along any outflow boundaries from morning convection.
Become a Patreon member today to support the channel: patreon.com/convectivechronicles
Facebook: facebook.com/ConvectiveChronicles
X: twitter.com/ConvChronicles
Instagram: instagram.com/convectivechronicles
Contents
0:00 Introduction
3:13 Deep dive into today's threat
35:24 Discussion of tomorrow's threat
48:51 Wrap-up
