Forecast Discussion - May 13, 2025 - Active Severe Weather Returns This Week and Beyond @ConvectiveChronicles
Forecast Discussion - May 13, 2025 - Active Severe Weather Returns This Week and Beyond  @ConvectiveChronicles
Uploaded May 2025 | Updated September 2026, 2 weeks ago
For educational purposes only. If you live in the affected areas, please stay tuned to your local National Weather Service office for the most accurate and up-to-date information.

After a bit of a lull in widespread severe weather across the US, a pattern shift is on its way this week and beyond. A multi-day stretch of severe weather is expected to begin Wednesday evening and peak Thursday and Friday from the Great Lakes to the Mid-South. SPC has outlined Slight Risks (level 2/5) for each day Wednesday-Friday. In this video, we'll compare and contrast a few different model solutions and discuss the potential outcomes from this setup. Beyond this, ensemble models are hinting at a continuation of robust severe weather into early next week.

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Chapters

0:00 Introduction, risk areas
3:40 Current look at the atmosphere
7:35 Discussion of Wednesday's setup
14:00 Discussion of Thursday's setup
34:55 Discussion of Friday's setup
40:58 Discussion of ensemble model output beyond Friday
46:55 Wrap-up
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Forecast Discussion - May 13, 2025 - Active Severe Weather Returns This Week and Beyond

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