Forecast Discussion - April 5, 2025 - Robust All-Hazards Risk for the Mid-South/Southeast @ConvectiveChronicles
Forecast Discussion - April 5, 2025 - Robust All-Hazards Risk for the Mid-South/Southeast  @ConvectiveChronicles
Uploaded April 2025 | Updated September 2026, 2 weeks ago
For educational purposes only. If you live in the affected areas, please stay tuned to your local National Weather Service office for the most accurate and up-to-date information.

UPDATE - SPC has upgraded to Moderate Risk (level 4/5) ahead of an intense bowing segment currently moving through Arkansas (as of 11:45am CDT). Greater confidence in strong tornadoes and significant damaging winds in excess of 80 mph has necessitated the upgrade.

Another day of significant severe weather potential is on tap today from east Texas to western Tennessee today, where SPC has outlined an Enhanced Risk (level 3/5). Most of the convection is expected to be messy/linear in organization, but any more discrete supercells in the open warm sector may pose a risk of strong tornadoes and very large hail. Damaging winds and tornadoes are also expected within the main line along the cold front. Excessive rainfall and catastrophic flash flooding is also expected to continue across the Mid-South today.

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Chapters

0:00 Introduction, risk areas, flooding risk
3:53 Meteorological analysis
21:30 Wrap-up
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Forecast Discussion - April 5, 2025 - Robust All-Hazards Risk for the Mid-South/Southeast

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