Uploaded January 2025 | Updated September 2026, 2 weeks ago

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For educational purposes only. If you live in the affected areas, please stay tuned to your local National Weather Service office for the most accurate and up-to-date information.

Significant severe weather is expected across the Southeast today, where SPC has outlined an Enhanced Risk (level 3/5). An intense QLCS will march east through parts of Texas, Louisiana, Arkansas, and Mississippi, posing a risk for damaging winds and tornadoes. Confluence bands in the open warm sector may yield discrete supercells ahead of the QLCS, which would have the greatest risk of producing tornadoes, some strong, if they can mature before the QLCS overtakes them.

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Contents
0:00 Introduction, risk areas
2:01 Observed data analysis
16:22 Model analysis
28:05 Convection-allowing model analysis
30:50 Wrap-up