Uploaded April 2025 | Updated September 2026, 2 weeks ago
For educational purposes only. If you live in the affected areas, please stay tuned to your local National Weather Service office for the most accurate and up-to-date information.
Our incredible severe weather outbreak sequence continues today across the Mid-South, as the SPC has outlined a Moderate Risk (level 4/5) from the ArkLaTex into southern Missouri. While storm mode will have a notable impact on the intensity of the risk, the environment will be favorable for intense, long-track tornadoes in any more semi-discrete supercells. The threat persists tomorrow across the Mid-South/Southeast, where another round of significant severe weather, including strong tornadoes and intense damaging winds, is expected.
Excessive rainfall and catastrophic flash flooding is also expected across the Mid-South along the slow-moving frontal zone, where multiple rounds of convection are forecast to continue to train over the same areas through the next couple days.
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Chapters
0:00 Introduction, risk areas, flooding risk
4:38 Current data analysis
15:40 Model analysis
29:22 Discussion of tomorrow's setup
35:11 Wrap-up
For educational purposes only. If you live in the affected areas, please stay tuned to your local National Weather Service office for the most accurate and up-to-date information.
Our incredible severe weather outbreak sequence continues today across the Mid-South, as the SPC has outlined a Moderate Risk (level 4/5) from the ArkLaTex into southern Missouri. While storm mode will have a notable impact on the intensity of the risk, the environment will be favorable for intense, long-track tornadoes in any more semi-discrete supercells. The threat persists tomorrow across the Mid-South/Southeast, where another round of significant severe weather, including strong tornadoes and intense damaging winds, is expected.
Excessive rainfall and catastrophic flash flooding is also expected across the Mid-South along the slow-moving frontal zone, where multiple rounds of convection are forecast to continue to train over the same areas through the next couple days.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Become a Patreon member today to support the channel: patreon.com/convectivechronicles
Facebook: facebook.com/ConvectiveChronicles
X: twitter.com/ConvChronicles
Instagram: instagram.com/convectivechronicles
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Looking for a reliable way to get up-to-the-minute severe weather alerts from me wherever you are? Check out WeatherCall NexGen.
What is WeatherCall NexGen? weathercallservices.com/convective-chron-nexgen
To register: bit.ly/41Ab5N5
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Chapters
0:00 Introduction, risk areas, flooding risk
4:38 Current data analysis
15:40 Model analysis
29:22 Discussion of tomorrow's setup
35:11 Wrap-up
