Forecast Discussion - April 25, 2026 - Intense All-Hazards Severe Threat Continues @ConvectiveChronicles
Forecast Discussion - April 25, 2026 - Intense All-Hazards Severe Threat Continues  @ConvectiveChronicles
Uploaded April 2026 | Updated September 2026, 2 weeks ago
For educational purposes only. If you live in the affected areas, please stay tuned to your local National Weather Service office for the most accurate and up-to-date information.

Our multi-day sequence of significant severe weather continues today across the ArkLaTex region, where SPC has outlined an Enhanced Risk (level 3/5). Supercells are expected to develop along a remnant outflow boundary from morning convection here, posing a risk for mainly large to very large hail and damaging winds, along with a low tornado risk.

A complex setup is apparent for tomorrow (Saturday, April 25); SPC has outlined an Enhanced Risk centered on eastern Oklahoma. Supercells are possible along and north of a warm front, posing mainly a large hail and damaging wind risk, along with a low tornado risk with any storms along/south of the warm front.

Uncertainty remains for Sunday, but the threat has shifted toward Kansas, where all-hazards supercells are possible. Monday still looks to hold the potential to be the most widespread/intense day of this stretch as a negative tilt trough and surface low interact with a very broad, moisture-rich warm sector.

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Chapters

0:00 Introduction, risk areas
5:27 Discussion of today's Moderate Risk setup
21:41 Discussion of Sunday's setup
28:58 Discussion of Monday's setup
32:33 Wrap-up
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Forecast Discussion - April 25, 2026 - Intense All-Hazards Severe Threat Continues

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