Uploaded February 2025 | Updated September 2026, 2 weeks ago

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For educational purposes only. If you live in the affected areas, please stay tuned to your local National Weather Service office for the most accurate and up-to-date information.

Significant severe weather is expected today across the Gulf Coast states, where the SPC has outlined an Enhanced Risk (level 3/5). Storms are expected to develop late this morning along the cold front with an additional round of open warm sector supercells this afternoon. The latter will pose the greatest risk for tornadoes, perhaps some strong, particularly across southern Mississippi and Alabama. The line will also pose a risk for tornadoes and damaging winds.

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Contents
0:00 Introduction, risk areas
1:52 Current state of the atmosphere
18:35 Model analysis
33:37 Convection allowing model (CAM) analysis
40:27 Wrap-up