Uploaded December 2024 | Updated September 2026, 2 weeks ago

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For educational purposes only. If you live in the affected areas, please stay tuned to your local National Weather Service office for the most accurate and up-to-date information.

Update on the forecast for today's potentially significant severe weather outbreak regional severe weather outbreak across the Southeast, where SPC has outlined a Moderate Risk (level 4/5). Ingredients are coming together for widespread significant severe weather in multiple rounds from Texas eastward today and tonight. Several strong tornadoes are possible across this corridor, both in an intense QLCS that is expected to develop and perhaps several bands of open warm sector supercells. The threat continues into tomorrow, as well.

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Contents
0:00 Introduction, risk areas
3:34 Current watches, radar
9:11 Observed data analysis
21:10 Model analysis
35:29 Convection-allowing model analysis
44:26 Wrap-up