Forecast Discussion - April 26, 2026 - Significant Severe Weather Threat Continues through Tuesday @ConvectiveChronicles
Forecast Discussion - April 26, 2026 - Significant Severe Weather Threat Continues through Tuesday  @ConvectiveChronicles
Uploaded April 2026 | Updated September 2026, 2 weeks ago
For educational purposes only. If you live in the affected areas, please stay tuned to your local National Weather Service office for the most accurate and up-to-date information.

Our multi-day sequence of significant severe weather marches on today with an Enhanced Risk (level 3/5) from the SPC across much of central/eastern Kansas, western Missouri, and northern Oklahoma. A very complex setup is evident today with nebulous forcing for ascent until evening. Isolated supercells are possible across northern/eastern Oklahoma and in north Texas; should a storm fire, all hazards would be possible. Convective coverage will increase overnight across much of the Enhanced Risk area with all hazards possible.

Tomorrow (Monday, April 27), a widespread/significant severe weather event is possible across the Midwest/Mid-South as a negative-tilt shortwave moves through the region and interacts with a broad, moisture-rich warm sector. Multiple rounds of significant all-hazards severe storms are possible, but this is dependent on how early-day convection evolves. The threat shifts into the Mid-South/Southeast on Tuesday before a bit of a break for the rest of the week.

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Chapters

0:00 Introduction, risk areas
4:43 Discussion of today's setup
31:28 Discussion of Monday's setup
42:28 Discussion of Tuesday's setup
45:26 Wrap-up
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Forecast Discussion - April 26, 2026 - Significant Severe Weather Threat Continues through Tuesday

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