Uploaded April 2025 | Updated September 2026, 2 weeks ago
For educational purposes only. If you live in the affected areas, please stay tuned to your local National Weather Service office for the most accurate and up-to-date information.
On the heels of yesterday's significant severe weather outbreak from the Midwest to the Southeast, more is on the way, particularly from the Southern Plains into the Mid-South and Southeast. Today (Thursday, April 3), SPC has outlined an Enhanced Risk (level 3/5) from the ArkLaTex into Tennessee, where ample convection is expected to develop near and north of a stalled frontal zone. Most storms should remain elevated, posing a large to very large hail risk, but any storms can latch onto the front or impinge upon the warm sector will pose a risk for all hazards, including strong tornadoes.
Tomorrow, an Enhanced Risk has also been outlined from the ArkLaTex into southeast Oklahoma, Arkansas, and far southern Missouri. A better chance for more surface-based supercells exists here given a northward advancing, broad warm sector, and all hazards, including strong tornadoes, are once again possible.
Saturday, another significant severe weather episode is expected, focused on east Texas, Louisiana, southern Arkansas, and western Mississippi, where a Day 3 Enhanced Risk has been outlined. All hazards are possible, including strong tornadoes.
Excessive rainfall and catastrophic flash flooding is also expected across the Mid-South along the slow-moving frontal zone, where multiple rounds of convection are forecast to train over the same areas through the next three days.
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Chapters
0:00 Introduction, risk areas, flooding risk
6:00 Discussion of today's setup
23:16 Discussion of Friday's setup
28:39 Discussion of Saturday's setup
34:49 Wrap-up
For educational purposes only. If you live in the affected areas, please stay tuned to your local National Weather Service office for the most accurate and up-to-date information.
On the heels of yesterday's significant severe weather outbreak from the Midwest to the Southeast, more is on the way, particularly from the Southern Plains into the Mid-South and Southeast. Today (Thursday, April 3), SPC has outlined an Enhanced Risk (level 3/5) from the ArkLaTex into Tennessee, where ample convection is expected to develop near and north of a stalled frontal zone. Most storms should remain elevated, posing a large to very large hail risk, but any storms can latch onto the front or impinge upon the warm sector will pose a risk for all hazards, including strong tornadoes.
Tomorrow, an Enhanced Risk has also been outlined from the ArkLaTex into southeast Oklahoma, Arkansas, and far southern Missouri. A better chance for more surface-based supercells exists here given a northward advancing, broad warm sector, and all hazards, including strong tornadoes, are once again possible.
Saturday, another significant severe weather episode is expected, focused on east Texas, Louisiana, southern Arkansas, and western Mississippi, where a Day 3 Enhanced Risk has been outlined. All hazards are possible, including strong tornadoes.
Excessive rainfall and catastrophic flash flooding is also expected across the Mid-South along the slow-moving frontal zone, where multiple rounds of convection are forecast to train over the same areas through the next three days.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Become a Patreon member today to support the channel: patreon.com/convectivechronicles
Facebook: facebook.com/ConvectiveChronicles
X: twitter.com/ConvChronicles
Instagram: instagram.com/convectivechronicles
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Looking for a reliable way to get up-to-the-minute severe weather alerts from me wherever you are? Check out WeatherCall NexGen.
What is WeatherCall NexGen? weathercallservices.com/convective-chron-nexgen
To register: bit.ly/41Ab5N5
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Chapters
0:00 Introduction, risk areas, flooding risk
6:00 Discussion of today's setup
23:16 Discussion of Friday's setup
28:39 Discussion of Saturday's setup
34:49 Wrap-up
