Uploaded May 2024 | Updated September 2026, 2 weeks ago
For educational purposes only. If you live in the affected areas, please stay tuned to your local National Weather Service office for the most accurate and up-to-date information.
A regional significant severe weather outbreak is expected today, focused on southern Kansas into central Oklahoma, where SPC has upgraded to a rare High Risk (level 5/5). Multiple discrete supercells are expected to traverse the High Risk area with an initial threat for large to giant hail before the low-level jet ramps up during the late afternoon/early evening. As this occurs, these supercells should begin to produce several long-track, strong to potentially violent tornadoes. Farther north, numerous severe storms are also expected, but a quick transition to a more messy, linearly organized complex is forecast to take place. Still, all hazards are possible, including a strong tornado or two and significant damaging winds.
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Contents
0:00 Introduction of risk areas, locations included
5:57 Current observations
22:29 Model analysis
35:03 Convection-allowing model (CAM) analysis
39:57 Wrap-up
For educational purposes only. If you live in the affected areas, please stay tuned to your local National Weather Service office for the most accurate and up-to-date information.
A regional significant severe weather outbreak is expected today, focused on southern Kansas into central Oklahoma, where SPC has upgraded to a rare High Risk (level 5/5). Multiple discrete supercells are expected to traverse the High Risk area with an initial threat for large to giant hail before the low-level jet ramps up during the late afternoon/early evening. As this occurs, these supercells should begin to produce several long-track, strong to potentially violent tornadoes. Farther north, numerous severe storms are also expected, but a quick transition to a more messy, linearly organized complex is forecast to take place. Still, all hazards are possible, including a strong tornado or two and significant damaging winds.
Become a Patreon member today to support the channel: patreon.com/convectivechronicles
Facebook: facebook.com/ConvectiveChronicles
X: twitter.com/ConvChronicles
Instagram: instagram.com/convectivechronicles
Contents
0:00 Introduction of risk areas, locations included
5:57 Current observations
22:29 Model analysis
35:03 Convection-allowing model (CAM) analysis
39:57 Wrap-up
