Uploaded September 2025 | Updated September 2026, 2 weeks ago
What we know about Atmospheric Rivers: the latest peer-reviewed science…
I chat about how Atmospheric Rivers (ARs) are:
- getting stronger
- getting longer
- getting wetter
- moving poleward
- overcoming ENSO
- enhancing cyclones
-wreaking weather havoc
Please donate to PaulBeckwith.net to support my research and videos connecting the dots on abrupt climate system mayhem.
Please subscribe to my YouTube channel. As well as my website, and YouTube, you can find me on Patreon, Facebook, Twitter/X, LinkedIn, Instagram, Reddit (multiple climate channels within), Quora, TikTok, Discord, Mastodon, Twitch, Vimeo, Bluesky, TruthSocial, Threads, Substack, Tumblr, Pinterest, etc...
Science paper: Characteristics of Super Atmospheric Rivers Associated With Explosive Extratropical Cyclones Over the Northern Pacific Ocean
agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1029/2025GL114654
Earth Nullschool: earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/isobaric/250hPa/overlay=total_precipitable_water/equirectangular/loc=-107.196,10.899
Ranking Atmospheric Rivers: New Study Finds World of Potential
jpl.nasa.gov/news/ranking-atmospheric-rivers-new-study-finds-world-of-potential
Science paper: PIKART: A Comprehensive Global Catalog of Atmospheric Rivers
agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1029/2024JD041869
Atmospheric rivers explain atypical El Niño and La Niña years
phys.org/news/2025-02-atmospheric-rivers-atypical-el-nio.html
Science paper: Heresy in ENSO teleconnections: atmospheric rivers as disruptors
of canonical seasonal precipitation anomalies in the Southwestern US
link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-025-07583-1
Atmospheric rivers are strengthening but are they the scary monster that mainstream media makes out?
globalwaterforum.org/2025/07/03/atmospheric-rivers-are-strengthening-but-are-they-the-scary-monster-that-mainstream-media-makes-out
Earth's "atmospheric rivers" have shifted, causing big weather changes
earth.com/news/earths-atmospheric-rivers-have-shifted-towards-the-poles-causing-big-local-weather-changes
Science paper: A global poleward shift of atmospheric rivers
Atmospheric rivers (ARs) are key agents in distributing extratropical precipitation and transporting moisture pole-ward. Climate models forced by historical anthropogenic forcing suggest an increase in AR activity in the extra-tropics over the past four decades. However, re-analyses indicate a ~6° to 10° poleward shift of ARs during boreal winter in both hemispheres, featuring a rise along 50°N and 50°S and a decrease along 30°N and 30°S. Our analysis demonstrates that low-frequency sea surface temperature variability in the tropical eastern Pacific exhibits a cooling tendency since 2000 that plays a key role in driving this global AR shift, mostly over extratropical oceans, through a tropical-driven eddy-mean flow feedback. This mechanism also operates on interannual timescales, controlled by the El Niño–Southern Oscillation, and is less pronounced over the Southern Ocean due to weaker eddy activity during austral summer. These highlight the sensitivity of ARs to large-scale circulation changes driven by both internal variability and external forcing in current and upcoming decades. science.org/doi/epdf/10.1126/sciadv.adq0604
Wet Soils Increase Flooding During Atmospheric River Storms
https://www.dri.edu/wet-soils-increase-flooding-during-atmospheric-river-storms/
Science paper: Wet Antecedent Soil Moisture Increases Atmospheric River Streamflow Magnitudes Nonlinearly
journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/hydr/26/6/JHM-D-24-0078.1.xml?tab_body=supplementary-materials
Antarctic atmospheric rivers, supercharged by climate change, expected to double by 2100
phys.org/news/2025-06-antarctic-atmospheric-rivers-supercharged-climate.html
Science paper: Rising atmospheric moisture escalates the future impact of atmospheric rivers
in the Antarctic climate system
nature.com/articles/s43247-025-02333-x
Atmospheric Rivers May be Diminishing on the West Coast and Surging in the East, Study Finds
insideclimatenews.org/news/09082025/atmospheric-rivers-move-east
Science paper: Contrasting historical trends of atmospheric rivers in the Northern Hemisphere
nature.com/articles/s41612-025-01191-w
Science paper: An unseasonal atmospheric river drives anomalous summer snow accumulation on glaciers of the subtropical Andes
tc.copernicus.org/articles/19/1897/2025/tc-19-1897-2025.pdf
Science paper: Future projection of East Asian atmospheric rivers in high-resolution
climate models sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2212094725000349?via%3Dihub
Science paper: The Changing Nature of Atmospheric Rivers
journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/38/6/JCLI-D-24-0234.1.xml
Atmospheric Rivers raise temperatures: fyfluiddynamics.com/2025/04/atmospheric-rivers-raise-temperatures
What we know about Atmospheric Rivers: the latest peer-reviewed science…
I chat about how Atmospheric Rivers (ARs) are:
- getting stronger
- getting longer
- getting wetter
- moving poleward
- overcoming ENSO
- enhancing cyclones
-wreaking weather havoc
Please donate to PaulBeckwith.net to support my research and videos connecting the dots on abrupt climate system mayhem.
Please subscribe to my YouTube channel. As well as my website, and YouTube, you can find me on Patreon, Facebook, Twitter/X, LinkedIn, Instagram, Reddit (multiple climate channels within), Quora, TikTok, Discord, Mastodon, Twitch, Vimeo, Bluesky, TruthSocial, Threads, Substack, Tumblr, Pinterest, etc...
Science paper: Characteristics of Super Atmospheric Rivers Associated With Explosive Extratropical Cyclones Over the Northern Pacific Ocean
agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1029/2025GL114654
Earth Nullschool: earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/isobaric/250hPa/overlay=total_precipitable_water/equirectangular/loc=-107.196,10.899
Ranking Atmospheric Rivers: New Study Finds World of Potential
jpl.nasa.gov/news/ranking-atmospheric-rivers-new-study-finds-world-of-potential
Science paper: PIKART: A Comprehensive Global Catalog of Atmospheric Rivers
agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1029/2024JD041869
Atmospheric rivers explain atypical El Niño and La Niña years
phys.org/news/2025-02-atmospheric-rivers-atypical-el-nio.html
Science paper: Heresy in ENSO teleconnections: atmospheric rivers as disruptors
of canonical seasonal precipitation anomalies in the Southwestern US
link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-025-07583-1
Atmospheric rivers are strengthening but are they the scary monster that mainstream media makes out?
globalwaterforum.org/2025/07/03/atmospheric-rivers-are-strengthening-but-are-they-the-scary-monster-that-mainstream-media-makes-out
Earth's "atmospheric rivers" have shifted, causing big weather changes
earth.com/news/earths-atmospheric-rivers-have-shifted-towards-the-poles-causing-big-local-weather-changes
Science paper: A global poleward shift of atmospheric rivers
Atmospheric rivers (ARs) are key agents in distributing extratropical precipitation and transporting moisture pole-ward. Climate models forced by historical anthropogenic forcing suggest an increase in AR activity in the extra-tropics over the past four decades. However, re-analyses indicate a ~6° to 10° poleward shift of ARs during boreal winter in both hemispheres, featuring a rise along 50°N and 50°S and a decrease along 30°N and 30°S. Our analysis demonstrates that low-frequency sea surface temperature variability in the tropical eastern Pacific exhibits a cooling tendency since 2000 that plays a key role in driving this global AR shift, mostly over extratropical oceans, through a tropical-driven eddy-mean flow feedback. This mechanism also operates on interannual timescales, controlled by the El Niño–Southern Oscillation, and is less pronounced over the Southern Ocean due to weaker eddy activity during austral summer. These highlight the sensitivity of ARs to large-scale circulation changes driven by both internal variability and external forcing in current and upcoming decades. science.org/doi/epdf/10.1126/sciadv.adq0604
Wet Soils Increase Flooding During Atmospheric River Storms
https://www.dri.edu/wet-soils-increase-flooding-during-atmospheric-river-storms/
Science paper: Wet Antecedent Soil Moisture Increases Atmospheric River Streamflow Magnitudes Nonlinearly
journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/hydr/26/6/JHM-D-24-0078.1.xml?tab_body=supplementary-materials
Antarctic atmospheric rivers, supercharged by climate change, expected to double by 2100
phys.org/news/2025-06-antarctic-atmospheric-rivers-supercharged-climate.html
Science paper: Rising atmospheric moisture escalates the future impact of atmospheric rivers
in the Antarctic climate system
nature.com/articles/s43247-025-02333-x
Atmospheric Rivers May be Diminishing on the West Coast and Surging in the East, Study Finds
insideclimatenews.org/news/09082025/atmospheric-rivers-move-east
Science paper: Contrasting historical trends of atmospheric rivers in the Northern Hemisphere
nature.com/articles/s41612-025-01191-w
Science paper: An unseasonal atmospheric river drives anomalous summer snow accumulation on glaciers of the subtropical Andes
tc.copernicus.org/articles/19/1897/2025/tc-19-1897-2025.pdf
Science paper: Future projection of East Asian atmospheric rivers in high-resolution
climate models sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2212094725000349?via%3Dihub
Science paper: The Changing Nature of Atmospheric Rivers
journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/38/6/JCLI-D-24-0234.1.xml
Atmospheric Rivers raise temperatures: fyfluiddynamics.com/2025/04/atmospheric-rivers-raise-temperatures
