Uploaded December 2024 | Updated September 2026, 2 weeks ago

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For educational purposes only. If you live in the affected areas, please stay tuned to your local National Weather Service office for the most accurate and up-to-date information.

A regional severe weather outbreak is expected tomorrow (Saturday, December 28) across the Gulf Coast states, where SPC has outlined an Enhanced Risk (level 3/5). A potent shortwave trough and surface low will act upon a broad warm sector, within which multiple rounds of storms are forecast, beginning early Saturday morning. Weak capping and strong forcing will likely lead to widespread convective coverage, meaning more a messy storm mode, but all severe hazards are still possible, including the threat for tornadoes, some strong, especially in more discrete supercells. The threat will persist into the eastern US on Sunday.

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Contents
0:00 Introduction, risk areas
2:36 Current state of the atmosphere
6:59 Model analysis
38:11 Brief discussion on Sunday's threat
39:58 Quick note on Nadocast
42:14 Wrap-up