Uploaded June 2024 | Updated September 2026, 2 weeks ago

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For educational purposes only. If you live in the affected areas, please stay tuned to your local National Weather Service office for the most accurate and up-to-date information.

A geographically unique setup is forecast to take place today across parts of Northeast. The SPC has outlined an Enhanced Risk (level 3/5) for much of Vermont, New Hampshire, and Massachusetts, as well as southwest Maine and far eastern New York. As a shortwave trough approaches, discrete supercells should develop along a prefrontal trough, ahead of which a moist, unstable environment exists. Mid-level lapse rates will be on the weaker side, which could temper updraft strength to some degree, but strong low-level shear should foster an elevated tornado and damaging wind risk with any more robust discrete supercells.

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Contents
0:00 Introduction, risk areas
1:51 Current observations
13:05 Model analysis
27:41 Wrap-up