Europe and Russia are Preparing for War. But Has It Already Started? @JamesKerLindsay
Europe and Russia are Preparing for War. But Has It Already Started?  @JamesKerLindsay
Uploaded March 2026 | Updated September 2026, 2 weeks ago
Is Europe already at war with Russia? Since Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022, tensions between Russia and Europe have intensified dramatically. European governments have imposed sweeping sanctions on Moscow while providing Ukraine with weapons, intelligence, training, and financial support. At the same time, Russia has been accused of carrying out cyberattacks, sabotage, and disinformation campaigns across Europe. This has raised an important question in international relations: does modern warfare only involve direct military confrontation, or can proxy war and hybrid warfare also constitute a form of conflict between states?

This video examines whether Europe and Russia are already engaged in a form of war. The discussion explores the concepts of proxy war and hybrid warfare, the deterioration of Russia–Europe relations since the end of the Cold War, and how the Ukraine war has reshaped European security. While some argue that Europe’s military support for Ukraine and Russia’s hybrid operations already amount to war, others insist that without direct NATO–Russia combat the situation remains something short of open conflict. The key issue is whether Europe and Russia are already at war—or whether they remain in a dangerous geopolitical grey zone that could still escalate into a much larger confrontation.

*VIDEO CHAPTERS*
00:00 Introduction and Titles
00:53 War and the Growing Europe-Russia Confrontation
02:07 Understanding Proxy and Hybrid Wars
04:24 Europe-Russia Relations After the Cold War
06:19 The Ukraine War and Russia-Europe Confrontation
08:22 The Case for an Ongoing Russia-Europe War
09:59 The Case Against an Ongoing Russia-Europe War
11:16 Are Europe and Russia Already at War?

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Europe and Russia are Preparing for War. But Has It Already Started?

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