Uploaded March 2026 | Updated September 2026, 2 weeks ago
New Evidence show Planet Heading to Super - El Niño, on top of Super Warming: James Hansen’s Warning
This new article by James Hansen and his colleagues is one of the best.
Clearly shown, is recent evidence of increased probability of having a Super El Nino event later in 2026 and peaking in 2027.
Also, clearly argued is that Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity is much higher than the "mainstream science" value of 3.0 degrees Celsius increase in temperature for a doubling of CO2.
At lease 4 lines of independent evidence show that the real value is 4.5 degrees Celsius increase in temperature for a doubling of CO2.
This is what Hansen has referred to as the Super Warming that the Earth has experienced over the last 25 years. The main cause is the reduction of aerosols which means that warming has greatly accelerated from 0.2 C per decade prior to 2000 to 0.4 C per decade since then.
This paper is vital, and the information within is of vital importance. If you only watch one of my videos over the next few weeks, then this is the most important one to watch, and widely share to your friends, social media contacts, and everybody else on the planet.
Please donate to PaulBeckwith.net to support my research and videos connecting the dots on abrupt climate system mayhem.
Please subscribe to my YouTube channel. As well as my website, and YouTube, you can find me on Patreon, Facebook, Twitter/X, LinkedIn, Instagram, Reddit (multiple climate channels within), Quora, TikTok, Discord, Mastodon, Twitch, Vimeo, Bluesky, TruthSocial, Threads, Substack, Tumblr, Pinterest, etc...
References and Links:
James Hansen Columbia University:
google.com/search?sca_esv=f66b4f49064b0fe0&sxsrf=ANbL-n67XBfXfFoiWmJMrBwXWYBj_puGgA:1774052237689&udm=2&fbs=ADc_l-aN0CWEZBOHjofHoaMMDiKp0UJuhqwKhR0QUhF54-6jIYFfWbU_Clyew-1Wh7zkL7EUcewkj-Y5mEXWvVf2-8S7Q9JzmuMHBTnAM1FBTEpBAGU9hBcU0HgHqs735pKRd_7g6XJzJZnvel8Geg3e8zKq0vN3i7Ev7H_3E_MYrNwMzTdGXJUx555UqRSGboZ3o7yap3-sgeXGyAfwxS8gv5BEOH6lJw&q=james+hansen+columbia&sa=X&ved=2ahUKEwj618LL26-TAxX8LtAFHVE_Ee8QtKgLegQIIRAB&cshid=1774052275717023&biw=1097&bih=540&dpr=1.75
James Hansen website:
https://www.columbia.edu/~jeh1/
Direct link to latest Hansen article:
Super El Nino? Super Warming is the Main Issue.
20 March 2026, by James Hansen, Pushker Kharecha, Dylan Morgan and Jasen Vest
https://www.columbia.edu/~jeh1/mailings/2026/Super_El_Nino.2026.03.20.pdf
Abstract.
Models are converging on prediction of an El Nino beginning this year, peaking in early 2027. After overlooking the possibility of an El Nino this year, some reporting is jumping on a “Super El Nino” bandwagon. El Nino strength and frequency are important, especially the issue of whether these are modified by global warming. However, the more important knowledge that needs to be extracted from near-term global warming concerns interpretation of ongoing, extraordinary, acceleration of ocean surface warming. Impacts of this ocean warming include a factor of two greater warming over land, increased extreme precipitation, and poleward movement of subtropical conditions.
The fundamental advance in the past five years in understanding of global climate change is realization that equilibrium climate sensitivity is substantially larger than the longstanding best estimate of 3°C for doubled CO2. The underestimate was due to an implicit assumption that aerosol climate forcing changed negligibly during the period of rapid linear warming that began about 1970 and on heavy dependence of climate sensitivity assessments on observed warming of the past century. Multiple data sources now indicate that climate sensitivity is 4-5°C, which is consistent with aerosol-cloud modeling that reveals increasing aerosol cooling during the 1970-2005 period of rapid linear warming because of increased global spread of the aerosol sources. This explains why underlying climate sensitivity must be larger to account for the observed temperature rise. High climate sensitivity and reduction of East Asia and ship aerosol sources in the past 10-15 years combine to drive accelerated sea surface temperature warming. The first author
appeals to his longtime friend Bill McKibben to help communicate the current knowledge because of the implications for the wellbeing of today’s young people and their children. We are developing a website that will be continually updated with the aim of aiding understanding of long-term climate change. We also are now on Substack.
Please donate to PaulBeckwith.net to support my research and videos connecting the dots on abrupt climate system mayhem.
Please subscribe to my YouTube channel. As well as my website, and YouTube, you can find me on Patreon, Facebook, Twitter/X, LinkedIn, Instagram, Reddit (multiple climate channels within), Quora, TikTok, Discord, Mastodon, Twitch, Vimeo, Bluesky, TruthSocial, Threads, Substack, Tumblr, Pinterest, etc...
New Evidence show Planet Heading to Super - El Niño, on top of Super Warming: James Hansen’s Warning
This new article by James Hansen and his colleagues is one of the best.
Clearly shown, is recent evidence of increased probability of having a Super El Nino event later in 2026 and peaking in 2027.
Also, clearly argued is that Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity is much higher than the "mainstream science" value of 3.0 degrees Celsius increase in temperature for a doubling of CO2.
At lease 4 lines of independent evidence show that the real value is 4.5 degrees Celsius increase in temperature for a doubling of CO2.
This is what Hansen has referred to as the Super Warming that the Earth has experienced over the last 25 years. The main cause is the reduction of aerosols which means that warming has greatly accelerated from 0.2 C per decade prior to 2000 to 0.4 C per decade since then.
This paper is vital, and the information within is of vital importance. If you only watch one of my videos over the next few weeks, then this is the most important one to watch, and widely share to your friends, social media contacts, and everybody else on the planet.
Please donate to PaulBeckwith.net to support my research and videos connecting the dots on abrupt climate system mayhem.
Please subscribe to my YouTube channel. As well as my website, and YouTube, you can find me on Patreon, Facebook, Twitter/X, LinkedIn, Instagram, Reddit (multiple climate channels within), Quora, TikTok, Discord, Mastodon, Twitch, Vimeo, Bluesky, TruthSocial, Threads, Substack, Tumblr, Pinterest, etc...
References and Links:
James Hansen Columbia University:
google.com/search?sca_esv=f66b4f49064b0fe0&sxsrf=ANbL-n67XBfXfFoiWmJMrBwXWYBj_puGgA:1774052237689&udm=2&fbs=ADc_l-aN0CWEZBOHjofHoaMMDiKp0UJuhqwKhR0QUhF54-6jIYFfWbU_Clyew-1Wh7zkL7EUcewkj-Y5mEXWvVf2-8S7Q9JzmuMHBTnAM1FBTEpBAGU9hBcU0HgHqs735pKRd_7g6XJzJZnvel8Geg3e8zKq0vN3i7Ev7H_3E_MYrNwMzTdGXJUx555UqRSGboZ3o7yap3-sgeXGyAfwxS8gv5BEOH6lJw&q=james+hansen+columbia&sa=X&ved=2ahUKEwj618LL26-TAxX8LtAFHVE_Ee8QtKgLegQIIRAB&cshid=1774052275717023&biw=1097&bih=540&dpr=1.75
James Hansen website:
https://www.columbia.edu/~jeh1/
Direct link to latest Hansen article:
Super El Nino? Super Warming is the Main Issue.
20 March 2026, by James Hansen, Pushker Kharecha, Dylan Morgan and Jasen Vest
https://www.columbia.edu/~jeh1/mailings/2026/Super_El_Nino.2026.03.20.pdf
Abstract.
Models are converging on prediction of an El Nino beginning this year, peaking in early 2027. After overlooking the possibility of an El Nino this year, some reporting is jumping on a “Super El Nino” bandwagon. El Nino strength and frequency are important, especially the issue of whether these are modified by global warming. However, the more important knowledge that needs to be extracted from near-term global warming concerns interpretation of ongoing, extraordinary, acceleration of ocean surface warming. Impacts of this ocean warming include a factor of two greater warming over land, increased extreme precipitation, and poleward movement of subtropical conditions.
The fundamental advance in the past five years in understanding of global climate change is realization that equilibrium climate sensitivity is substantially larger than the longstanding best estimate of 3°C for doubled CO2. The underestimate was due to an implicit assumption that aerosol climate forcing changed negligibly during the period of rapid linear warming that began about 1970 and on heavy dependence of climate sensitivity assessments on observed warming of the past century. Multiple data sources now indicate that climate sensitivity is 4-5°C, which is consistent with aerosol-cloud modeling that reveals increasing aerosol cooling during the 1970-2005 period of rapid linear warming because of increased global spread of the aerosol sources. This explains why underlying climate sensitivity must be larger to account for the observed temperature rise. High climate sensitivity and reduction of East Asia and ship aerosol sources in the past 10-15 years combine to drive accelerated sea surface temperature warming. The first author
appeals to his longtime friend Bill McKibben to help communicate the current knowledge because of the implications for the wellbeing of today’s young people and their children. We are developing a website that will be continually updated with the aim of aiding understanding of long-term climate change. We also are now on Substack.
Please donate to PaulBeckwith.net to support my research and videos connecting the dots on abrupt climate system mayhem.
Please subscribe to my YouTube channel. As well as my website, and YouTube, you can find me on Patreon, Facebook, Twitter/X, LinkedIn, Instagram, Reddit (multiple climate channels within), Quora, TikTok, Discord, Mastodon, Twitch, Vimeo, Bluesky, TruthSocial, Threads, Substack, Tumblr, Pinterest, etc...
