Uploaded October 2025 | Updated September 2026, 2 weeks ago
How our Darkening (Lower Albedo) Earth is Accelerating Climate Mayhem
The Earth is literally getting darker. Darker materials have lower reflectance (albedo) for incoming solar radiation (short-wave radiation). Thus, there is more absorption of the sunlight and greater heating.
Please donate to PaulBeckwith.net to support my research and videos connecting the dots on abrupt climate system mayhem.
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Links:
Phys.org article: The Earth is reflecting less and less sunlight, study reveals
phys.org/news/2025-09-earth-sunlight-reveals.html
Peer-reviewed PNAS science paper: Emerging hemispheric asymmetry of Earth’s radiation
pnas.org/doi/pdf/10.1073/pnas.2511595122
Abstract
Twenty-four years of satellite observations from the Clouds and the Earth’s Radiant Energy System show a northern hemisphere (NH) minus southern hemisphere (SH) trend difference of 0.34 ± 0.23 Wm−2 dec−1 (5 to 95% CI) in absorbed solar radiation (ASR) and a weaker trend difference of 0.21 ± 0.21 Wm−2 dec−1 in outgoing longwave radiation. The emerging darkening of the NH relative to the SH is associated with changes in hemispheric differences in aerosol–radiation interactions, surface albedo, and water vapor changes. Cloud changes also contribute to a greater ASR hemispheric contrast, but the magnitude is small due to opposing trend differences in the tropics
and extra-tropics. The break in hemispheric symmetry in ASR challenges the notion that clouds naturally compensate for forced hemispheric asymmetries in non-cloud properties. Hemispheric (a)symmetry in radiation is linked with the atmosphere–ocean general circulation. How clouds respond to this hemispheric imbalance has important implications for future climate.
Phys.org article: Hunga volcano eruption's unexpected Southern Hemisphere cooling effect challenges geoengineering assumptions
phys.org/news/2025-04-hunga-volcano-eruption-unexpected-southern.html
Peer-reviewed Nature science paper: The January 2022 Hunga eruption cooled the southern hemisphere in 2022 and 2023
nature.com/articles/s43247-025-02181-9
Abstract
The 2022 Hunga volcanic eruption injected a significant quantity of water vapor into the stratosphere while releasing only limited sulfur dioxide. It has been proposed that this excess water vapor could have contributed to global warming, potentially pushing temperatures beyond the 1.5 °C threshold of the Paris Climate Accord. However, given the cooling effects of sulfate aerosols and the contrasting impacts of ozone loss (cooling) versus gain (warming), assessing the eruption’s net radiative effect is essential. Here, we quantify the Hunga - induced perturbations in stratospheric water vapor, sulfate aerosols, and ozone using satellite observations and radiative transfer simulations. Our analysis shows that these components induce clear-sky instantaneous net radiative energy losses at both the top of the atmosphere and near the tropopause. In 2022, the Southern Hemisphere experienced a radiative forcing of −0.55 ± 0.05 W m⁻² at the top of the atmosphere and −0.52 ± 0.05 W m⁻² near the tropopause. By 2023, these values decreased to −0.26 ± 0.04 W m⁻² and −0.25 ± 0.04 W m⁻², respectively. Employing a two-layer energy balance model, we estimate that these losses resulted in cooling of about −0.10 ± 0.02 K in the Southern Hemisphere by the end of 2022 and 2023. Thus, we conclude that the Hunga eruption cooled rather than warmed the Southern Hemisphere during this period.
AGU peer-reviewed science paper: The Construction of 20-year Daily Surface Albedo Along PANDA Transect, Antarctica
agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1029/2024JD042863
Article: The planet's lower reflectivity is causing a sharp increase in global warming
helmholtz.de/en/newsroom/article/the-planets-lower-reflectivity-is-causing-a-sharp-increase-in-global-warming
Science article: Recent global temperature surge intensified by record-low planetary albedo
science.org/doi/10.1126/science.adq7280
Quick bite albedo comparison: https://mosaic.colorado.edu/quick-bite-albedo-comparison
Wikipedia albedo: en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Albedo
Please donate to PaulBeckwith.net to support my research and videos connecting the dots on abrupt climate system mayhem.
Please subscribe to my YouTube channel. As well as my website, and YouTube, you can find me on Patreon, Facebook, Twitter/X, LinkedIn, Instagram, Reddit (multiple climate channels within), Quora, TikTok, Discord, Mastodon, Twitch, Vimeo, Bluesky, TruthSocial, Threads, Substack, Tumblr, Pinterest, etc...
How our Darkening (Lower Albedo) Earth is Accelerating Climate Mayhem
The Earth is literally getting darker. Darker materials have lower reflectance (albedo) for incoming solar radiation (short-wave radiation). Thus, there is more absorption of the sunlight and greater heating.
Please donate to PaulBeckwith.net to support my research and videos connecting the dots on abrupt climate system mayhem.
Please subscribe to my YouTube channel. As well as my website, and YouTube, you can find me on Patreon, Facebook, Twitter/X, LinkedIn, Instagram, Reddit (multiple climate channels within), Quora, TikTok, Discord, Mastodon, Twitch, Vimeo, Bluesky, TruthSocial, Threads, Substack, Tumblr, Pinterest, etc...
Links:
Phys.org article: The Earth is reflecting less and less sunlight, study reveals
phys.org/news/2025-09-earth-sunlight-reveals.html
Peer-reviewed PNAS science paper: Emerging hemispheric asymmetry of Earth’s radiation
pnas.org/doi/pdf/10.1073/pnas.2511595122
Abstract
Twenty-four years of satellite observations from the Clouds and the Earth’s Radiant Energy System show a northern hemisphere (NH) minus southern hemisphere (SH) trend difference of 0.34 ± 0.23 Wm−2 dec−1 (5 to 95% CI) in absorbed solar radiation (ASR) and a weaker trend difference of 0.21 ± 0.21 Wm−2 dec−1 in outgoing longwave radiation. The emerging darkening of the NH relative to the SH is associated with changes in hemispheric differences in aerosol–radiation interactions, surface albedo, and water vapor changes. Cloud changes also contribute to a greater ASR hemispheric contrast, but the magnitude is small due to opposing trend differences in the tropics
and extra-tropics. The break in hemispheric symmetry in ASR challenges the notion that clouds naturally compensate for forced hemispheric asymmetries in non-cloud properties. Hemispheric (a)symmetry in radiation is linked with the atmosphere–ocean general circulation. How clouds respond to this hemispheric imbalance has important implications for future climate.
Phys.org article: Hunga volcano eruption's unexpected Southern Hemisphere cooling effect challenges geoengineering assumptions
phys.org/news/2025-04-hunga-volcano-eruption-unexpected-southern.html
Peer-reviewed Nature science paper: The January 2022 Hunga eruption cooled the southern hemisphere in 2022 and 2023
nature.com/articles/s43247-025-02181-9
Abstract
The 2022 Hunga volcanic eruption injected a significant quantity of water vapor into the stratosphere while releasing only limited sulfur dioxide. It has been proposed that this excess water vapor could have contributed to global warming, potentially pushing temperatures beyond the 1.5 °C threshold of the Paris Climate Accord. However, given the cooling effects of sulfate aerosols and the contrasting impacts of ozone loss (cooling) versus gain (warming), assessing the eruption’s net radiative effect is essential. Here, we quantify the Hunga - induced perturbations in stratospheric water vapor, sulfate aerosols, and ozone using satellite observations and radiative transfer simulations. Our analysis shows that these components induce clear-sky instantaneous net radiative energy losses at both the top of the atmosphere and near the tropopause. In 2022, the Southern Hemisphere experienced a radiative forcing of −0.55 ± 0.05 W m⁻² at the top of the atmosphere and −0.52 ± 0.05 W m⁻² near the tropopause. By 2023, these values decreased to −0.26 ± 0.04 W m⁻² and −0.25 ± 0.04 W m⁻², respectively. Employing a two-layer energy balance model, we estimate that these losses resulted in cooling of about −0.10 ± 0.02 K in the Southern Hemisphere by the end of 2022 and 2023. Thus, we conclude that the Hunga eruption cooled rather than warmed the Southern Hemisphere during this period.
AGU peer-reviewed science paper: The Construction of 20-year Daily Surface Albedo Along PANDA Transect, Antarctica
agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1029/2024JD042863
Article: The planet's lower reflectivity is causing a sharp increase in global warming
helmholtz.de/en/newsroom/article/the-planets-lower-reflectivity-is-causing-a-sharp-increase-in-global-warming
Science article: Recent global temperature surge intensified by record-low planetary albedo
science.org/doi/10.1126/science.adq7280
Quick bite albedo comparison: https://mosaic.colorado.edu/quick-bite-albedo-comparison
Wikipedia albedo: en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Albedo
Please donate to PaulBeckwith.net to support my research and videos connecting the dots on abrupt climate system mayhem.
Please subscribe to my YouTube channel. As well as my website, and YouTube, you can find me on Patreon, Facebook, Twitter/X, LinkedIn, Instagram, Reddit (multiple climate channels within), Quora, TikTok, Discord, Mastodon, Twitch, Vimeo, Bluesky, TruthSocial, Threads, Substack, Tumblr, Pinterest, etc...








![Profound Change in Global Weather Statistics: Large Fraction of Earth Gets Higher Heat and More Rain
Profound Change in Global Weather Statistics: Large Fraction of Earth Gets Higher Heat and More Rain
Clearly, extreme weather extremes are on the rise around the globe, affecting much larger fractions of the Earth surface and more people and infrastructure.
In this video I chat about increases in heat events with temperatures over 30 C (86 F) and extreme heat events with temperatures over 40 C (104 F). I also chat about increases in extreme precipitation events, with 24 hour rainfall over 50 mm (about 2 inches) and in even more extreme events with rainfall over 90 mm (about 3.5 inches). The time frame from 1980 onward is examined in the peer-reviewed scientific paper.
Please donate to http://PaulBeckwith.net to support my research and videos connecting the dots on abrupt climate system mayhem.
Please subscribe to my YouTube channel. As well as my website, and YouTube, you can find me on Patreon, Facebook, Twitter/X, LinkedIn, Instagram, Reddit (multiple climate channels within), Quora, TikTok, Discord, Mastodon, Twitch, Vimeo, Bluesky, TruthSocial, Threads, Substack, Tumblr, Pinterest, etc...
Links:
Peer reviewed scientific paper in journal Science Advances:
Global record-breaking recurrence rates indicate more widespread and intense surface air temperature and precipitation extremes
Abstract
We analyzed the evolution of extreme annual surface air temperature and rainfall on Earth, based on the recurrence rate of record-breaking events, and found the highest recurrence rates for record-high annual temperatures in the tropics, as opposed to the polar regions with the fastest warming. Both recurrence rates and the global surface area fraction with daily mean surface air temperatures exceeding 30° and 40°C provide further evidence for extremely hot years becoming more common and widespread. A similar analysis for precipitation highlighted some regions with more record-high annual total precipitation and others with record-low annual precipitation typically associated with drought. A multi-model ensemble of 306 runs with global climate models [Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 6 (CMIP) Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 2-45 (SSP2-45)] reproduced the statis-tics of record- breaking high temperatures, but there were some differences for the reanalysis precipitation record-breaking recurrence rates. The global climate model simulations suggested a slightly altered geographical pattern for record-breaking annual precipitation recurrence rates.
https://www.science.org/doi/epdf/10.1126/sciadv.ado3712
Image in article on statistical shifts, variance shifts, and bell curve shape distortions, affecting the statistics of extreme weather
https://climatesight.org/2012/04/03/climate-change-and-heat-waves/
Please donate to http://PaulBeckwith.net to support my research and videos connecting the dots on abrupt climate system mayhem.
Please subscribe to my YouTube channel. As well as my website, and YouTube, you can find me on Patreon, Facebook, Twitter/X, LinkedIn, Instagram, Reddit (multiple climate channels within), Quora, TikTok, Discord, Mastodon, Twitch, Vimeo, Bluesky, TruthSocial, Threads, Substack, Tumblr, Pinterest, etc... Profound Change in Global Weather Statistics: Large Fraction of Earth Gets Higher Heat and More Rain](https://i.ytimg.com/vi/qUfHrylQ7_w/mqdefault.jpg)

