Uploaded February 2025 | Updated September 2026, 2 weeks ago
Tesla boycotts, production slowdowns, and the never-ending Elon Musk drama—there's a lot to unpack this week. We dive into the extended Model Y downtime in China, what it means for Tesla’s Q1 earnings, and why the mainstream media might completely miss the real story. Plus, we break down the growing backlash against Musk, including clients demanding to dump $TSLA from their portfolios and even celebrity protests. But is all this noise actually overshadowing Tesla’s biggest breakthrough yet?
🔥 Don’t miss our livestreams every Tuesday at 4PM EST! 🔥
Join us live to get real-time insights and engage in the discussion.
Rebellionaire is a brand of Halter Ferguson Financial. hffinancial.com/disclaimer
As of Feb 18th, 2025, clients and employees of our firm Halter Ferguson Financial own Tesla stock and/or options and thereby stand to materially benefit from a rise in the share price. Past performance is no assurance of future results. Halter Ferguson Financial, Inc. (“Halter Ferguson Financial”) is a registered investment adviser with its principal place of business in the State of Indiana. A complete list of all recommendations will be provided if requested for the preceding period of not less than one year. It should not be assumed that recommendations made in the future will be profitable or will equal the performance of the securities in this list. Opinions expressed are those of Halter Ferguson Financial, Inc. and are subject to change, not guaranteed and should not be considered recommendations to buy or sell any security.
Halter Ferguson Financial is registered as an investment advisor with the SEC and only transacts business in states where it is properly registered, or is excluded or exempted from registration requirements. Registration as an investment advisor does not constitute an endorsement of the firm by the Commission nor does it indicate that the advisor has attained a particular level of skill or ability.
Information presented is believed to be factual and up-to-date, but we do not guarantee its accuracy and it should not be regarded as a complete analysis of the subjects discussed. All expressions of opinion reflect the judgment of the author/presenter as of the date of publication and are subject to change and do not constitute personalized investment advice. A professional advisor should be consulted before implementing any of the strategies presented. No content should be construed as an offer to buy or sell, or a solicitation of any offer to buy or sell any securities mentioned herein.
Halter Ferguson Financial does not represent, warranty, or imply that the services or methods of analysis employed by the Firm can or will predict future results, successfully identify market tops or bottoms, or insulate clients from losses due to market corrections or declines.
Investments are subject to market risks and potential loss of principal invested, and all investment strategies likewise have the potential for profit or loss. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Different types of investments involve varying degrees of risk, and there can be no assurance that any specific investment will either be suitable or profitable for a client's portfolio. There are also no assurances that any portfolio will match or outperform any particular benchmark.
Tesla boycotts, production slowdowns, and the never-ending Elon Musk drama—there's a lot to unpack this week. We dive into the extended Model Y downtime in China, what it means for Tesla’s Q1 earnings, and why the mainstream media might completely miss the real story. Plus, we break down the growing backlash against Musk, including clients demanding to dump $TSLA from their portfolios and even celebrity protests. But is all this noise actually overshadowing Tesla’s biggest breakthrough yet?
🔥 Don’t miss our livestreams every Tuesday at 4PM EST! 🔥
Join us live to get real-time insights and engage in the discussion.
Rebellionaire is a brand of Halter Ferguson Financial. hffinancial.com/disclaimer
As of Feb 18th, 2025, clients and employees of our firm Halter Ferguson Financial own Tesla stock and/or options and thereby stand to materially benefit from a rise in the share price. Past performance is no assurance of future results. Halter Ferguson Financial, Inc. (“Halter Ferguson Financial”) is a registered investment adviser with its principal place of business in the State of Indiana. A complete list of all recommendations will be provided if requested for the preceding period of not less than one year. It should not be assumed that recommendations made in the future will be profitable or will equal the performance of the securities in this list. Opinions expressed are those of Halter Ferguson Financial, Inc. and are subject to change, not guaranteed and should not be considered recommendations to buy or sell any security.
Halter Ferguson Financial is registered as an investment advisor with the SEC and only transacts business in states where it is properly registered, or is excluded or exempted from registration requirements. Registration as an investment advisor does not constitute an endorsement of the firm by the Commission nor does it indicate that the advisor has attained a particular level of skill or ability.
Information presented is believed to be factual and up-to-date, but we do not guarantee its accuracy and it should not be regarded as a complete analysis of the subjects discussed. All expressions of opinion reflect the judgment of the author/presenter as of the date of publication and are subject to change and do not constitute personalized investment advice. A professional advisor should be consulted before implementing any of the strategies presented. No content should be construed as an offer to buy or sell, or a solicitation of any offer to buy or sell any securities mentioned herein.
Halter Ferguson Financial does not represent, warranty, or imply that the services or methods of analysis employed by the Firm can or will predict future results, successfully identify market tops or bottoms, or insulate clients from losses due to market corrections or declines.
Investments are subject to market risks and potential loss of principal invested, and all investment strategies likewise have the potential for profit or loss. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Different types of investments involve varying degrees of risk, and there can be no assurance that any specific investment will either be suitable or profitable for a client's portfolio. There are also no assurances that any portfolio will match or outperform any particular benchmark.



![🎞️ The Boring Stock With EXPLOSIVE Potential
Lemonade (LMND) stock is down 50% from its highs, but we’re not sweating it—in fact, we’re doubling down. In this clip from last week’s Tuesday Livestream, Matt and Bradford break down what’s really going on under the hood of Lemonade and why we still think its wildly misunderstood.
Wall Street sees losses.
We see predictable gross margins, cash flow, and a path to scale that most analysts are completely missing.
👇 Timestamps to jump around:
[00:00] LMND is down—what’s going on?
[00:15] The gross margin story and fixed cost leverage
[01:10] Lemonade’s high beta and volatility potential
[01:48] Is LMND insulated from macro shocks like tariffs?
[02:20] Two years to GAAP profitability? Here’s why that’s fine
[02:39] Losses ≠ failure: understanding the marketing spend
[03:02] Response to legacy insurance critiques
[04:07] Tesla vs. Lemonade: the CapEx accounting analogy
[05:12] Modeling customer cohorts and long-term value
[05:47] “Boring” business, unsexy alpha
[06:25] We trimmed near the peak—now we’re hungry at $25
[06:56] Slight model tweak, same fundamental thesis
[07:10] The case for being long LMND
📺 This is a segment from our Tuesday Livestream — catch us live every Tuesday at 4PM EDT to hear our takes in real time.
🔔 Subscribe to Rebellionaire for more deep dives on misunderstood stocks and high-conviction investing.
Rebellionaire is a brand of Halter Ferguson Financial. https://www.hffinancial.com/disclaimer
As of April 14th, 2025, clients and employees of our firm Halter Ferguson Financial own Lemonade, Inc. stock and/or options and thereby stand to materially benefit from a rise in the share price. Past performance is no assurance of future results. Halter Ferguson Financial, Inc. (“Halter Ferguson Financial”) is a registered investment adviser with its principal place of business in the State of Indiana. A complete list of all recommendations will be provided if requested for the preceding period of not less than one year. It should not be assumed that recommendations made in the future will be profitable or will equal the performance of the securities in this list. Opinions expressed are those of Halter Ferguson Financial, Inc. and are subject to change, not guaranteed and should not be considered recommendations to buy or sell any security.
Halter Ferguson Financial is registered as an investment advisor with the SEC and only transacts business in states where it is properly registered, or is excluded or exempted from registration requirements. Registration as an investment advisor does not constitute an endorsement of the firm by the Commission nor does it indicate that the advisor has attained a particular level of skill or ability.
Information presented is believed to be factual and up-to-date, but we do not guarantee its accuracy and it should not be regarded as a complete analysis of the subjects discussed. All expressions of opinion reflect the judgment of the author/presenter as of the date of publication and are subject to change and do not constitute personalized investment advice. A professional advisor should be consulted before implementing any of the strategies presented. No content should be construed as an offer to buy or sell, or a solicitation of any offer to buy or sell any securities mentioned herein.
Halter Ferguson Financial does not represent, warranty, or imply that the services or methods of analysis employed by the Firm can or will predict future results, successfully identify market tops or bottoms, or insulate clients from losses due to market corrections or declines.
Investments are subject to market risks and potential loss of principal invested, and all investment strategies likewise have the potential for profit or loss. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Different types of investments involve varying degrees of risk, and there can be no assurance that any specific investment will either be suitable or profitable for a clients portfolio. There are also no assurances that any portfolio will match or outperform any particular benchmark. 🎞️ The Boring Stock With EXPLOSIVE Potential](https://i.ytimg.com/vi/ZYZ4KVGxulg/mqdefault.jpg)






