Uploaded August 2024 | Updated September 2026, 2 weeks ago
Willie Soon was the keynote-speaker at the Clintel Anniversary Congress on 18 June 2024. This is the registration of his speech. Below you find his summary.
In this talk, I discussed major fundamental problems with the “detection and attribution” of global warming by the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) reports that the media doesn’t tell you about. The IPCC’s “detection and attribution” process is the entire basis for why the IPCC concluded (using computer models) that global warming is mostly human-caused. We discovered that the IPCC’s analysis was scientifically flawed because of major problems in (a) the thermometer record and (b) the total solar irradiance databases.
We explained that the current global temperate records adopted by the IPCC report have been contaminated by urbanization biases. When we removed this major flaw, we created a rural-based temperature record that was then adopted for the revisit of attribution problem. We found that IPCC’s approach in attribution was highly selective and rather non-scientific as proven in their recommendation of a single choice of the solar irradiance factor. In contrast, we showed that there were at least two dozen valid estimates of solar irradiance that were conveniently de-selected by IPCC team. However, when one applies some of these solar irradiance estimates, we found that the rural-only temperature records can be explained mostly by the solar forcing factor. This result directly challenges IPCC’s iconic statement that the warming observed since the 1950s were mainly human-caused.
Our scientific results and conclusions for this talk have been published in two recent peer-reviewed papers:
(1) Soon et al. (2023) mdpi.com/2225-1154/11/9/179 (free download)
(2) Connolly et al. (2023) iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1674-4527/acf18e (free download)
All the datasets we used for our two papers are available here:
zenodo.org/records/8225275
ceres-science.com
Robbert Clignett: Camera en Montage
Sylvester van Nieuwenhuijzen: Camera
Willie Soon was the keynote-speaker at the Clintel Anniversary Congress on 18 June 2024. This is the registration of his speech. Below you find his summary.
In this talk, I discussed major fundamental problems with the “detection and attribution” of global warming by the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) reports that the media doesn’t tell you about. The IPCC’s “detection and attribution” process is the entire basis for why the IPCC concluded (using computer models) that global warming is mostly human-caused. We discovered that the IPCC’s analysis was scientifically flawed because of major problems in (a) the thermometer record and (b) the total solar irradiance databases.
We explained that the current global temperate records adopted by the IPCC report have been contaminated by urbanization biases. When we removed this major flaw, we created a rural-based temperature record that was then adopted for the revisit of attribution problem. We found that IPCC’s approach in attribution was highly selective and rather non-scientific as proven in their recommendation of a single choice of the solar irradiance factor. In contrast, we showed that there were at least two dozen valid estimates of solar irradiance that were conveniently de-selected by IPCC team. However, when one applies some of these solar irradiance estimates, we found that the rural-only temperature records can be explained mostly by the solar forcing factor. This result directly challenges IPCC’s iconic statement that the warming observed since the 1950s were mainly human-caused.
Our scientific results and conclusions for this talk have been published in two recent peer-reviewed papers:
(1) Soon et al. (2023) mdpi.com/2225-1154/11/9/179 (free download)
(2) Connolly et al. (2023) iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1674-4527/acf18e (free download)
All the datasets we used for our two papers are available here:
zenodo.org/records/8225275
ceres-science.com
Robbert Clignett: Camera en Montage
Sylvester van Nieuwenhuijzen: Camera
