Jan Czarnocki: Why AI agents arent beating human traders any time soon @nextdotio
Jan Czarnocki: Why AI agents arent beating human traders any time soon  @nextdotio
Uploaded September 2026 | Updated September 2026, 21 hours ago
πŸŽ™οΈNEXTPredict Podcast #2 with Jan Czarnocki, Chief of Staff and General Counsel at Elastics

In this episode of the NextPredict Podcast, Jan Czarnocki β€” Chief of Staff and General Counsel at Elastics, and one of the first angel investors in the company β€” shares a ground-level view of what prediction markets actually look like from the inside.

Elastics is building an AI-powered trading terminal for prediction markets, designed to give serious traders one place for research, execution, automation and portfolio management across Polymarket, Kalshi and beyond.

⏰ Timestamps:
00:00 - Intro
00:43 - Who is Jan Czarnocki and what is Elastics?
01:28 - The biggest structural problem
03:37 - Sharps vs. fish: who is actually on prediction markets?
06:12 - The poker boom parallel
08:20 - Losing money on geopolitics markets
10:57 - How Next.io hedged its own conference on a prediction market
12:37 - Prediction markets vs. insurance
15:39 - AI trading assistant for everyone
18:29 - Are AI bots actually profitable on prediction markets?
22:26 - Why Elastics augments sharps instead of replacing them
23:51 - Is the playing field levelling between retail and institutional traders?
26:23 - The vibe coding debate
31:53 - What will be Elastics' killer feature?
34:50 - Prediction market space in 3 years
39:47 - The big vision: one terminal for all serious traders

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Apple: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast...

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Jan Czarnocki: Why AI agents aren't beating human traders any time soon

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