Can you believe something while also thinking it’s probably false? @lizjackson111
Can you believe something while also thinking it’s probably false?  @lizjackson111
Uploaded March 2022 | Updated September 2026, 8 hours ago
Can you believe something while also thinking it’s probably false?

In this talk, we explore cases of “low-confidence belief,” where a person believes a proposition while simultaneously having low confidence in it. These puzzling cases appear in epistemic akrasia, paranoia, and certain delusions, and they raise important questions about the relationship between belief and credence.

We argue that these cases support “belief-credence dualism,” the view that belief and degrees of confidence are fundamentally different mental attitudes rather than reducible to one another.

This talk was given with Peter Tan at the Pacific APA in April 2019, with comments by Andrew Moon.

This paper, coauthored with Peter Tan (sites.google.com/site/petertanphilosophy/) is published in Philosophy and Phenomenological Research. You can download it for free here: philpapers.org/rec/JACEAA-5

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41:50 Q&A

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Can you believe something while also thinking it’s probably false?

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