Uploaded November 2025 | Updated September 2026, 1 week ago
In this episode, Nik breaks down whether Nvidia’s blockbuster earnings report can be the spark that turns momentum positive for Bitcoin as it tests the crucial $87,000 to $90,000 support. He walks through the money markets monitor, the TGA rollover, and how shifts in reserves, repo usage, and liquidity flows may have driven the recent drawdown across stocks and Bitcoin. Nik analyzes the Fed corridor, the standing repo facility, Treasury supply dynamics, bond volatility, and what growing correlations between Bitcoin and equities say about the path forward. He explains why the next few weeks hinge on liquidity, volatility, and whether the combined boost from Nvidia earnings and TGA spending can stabilize risk markets.
📚 Bitcoin Age is here, order yours today: https://a.co/d/5gau08H
📊 The Bitcoin Layer is a bitcoin and global macroeconomic research firm.
🔓 The Bitcoin Layer is proud to be sponsored by Unchained, the leader in Bitcoin financial services. Unchained empowers you to take full control of your Bitcoin with a collaborative multisig vault, where you hold two of three keys, and benefit from a Bitcoin security partner. Purchase Bitcoin directly into your cold storage vault and eliminate exchange risks with Unchained's Trading Desk. Unchained also offers the best IRA product in the industry, allowing you to easily roll over old 401(k)s or IRAs into Bitcoin while keeping control of your keys. Don’t pay more taxes than you have to. Talk to us today.
Visit unchained.com/tbl and use the code TBL10 for a 10% credit towards your first year's account fees.
📡 Blockstream delivers cutting-edge Bitcoin infrastructure. Discover the top-rated Blockstream Jade hardware wallet for secure offline storage, and explore the Blockstream Satellite for a seamless offline Bitcoin node experience — all available at the Blockstream Store. Visit: store.blockstream.com/discount/TBL for 10% off entire order.
🏡 Arch Lending is the Bitcoin-native solution for unlocking liquidity without selling your Bitcoin. Secure a loan using your Bitcoin as collateral, with zero rehypothecation and institutional-grade custody. Whether you're buying a home or investing in your business, Arch Lending helps you access capital while staying long BTC. Learn more at: archlending.com
▶️ Subscribe and turn on notifications for TBL on YouTube.
📚 Subscribe to TBL’s research letter: thebitcoinlayer.com/subscribe
🎧 Subscribe to The Bitcoin Layer on your favorite podcast platform.
📱 Follow TBL on X: twitter.com/TheBitcoinLayer
📩 Join the official TBL channel on Telegram: https://t.me/thebitcoinlayerofficial
🧢 Use code TBLYT10 for 10% off all The Bitcoin Layer Merch at TheBitcoinLayer.com/merch
⛓️ ₿lock Height 924358
⚡ Contribute to The Bitcoin Layer via Lightning Network: thebitcoinlayer@zbd.gg
Nik Bhatia's Twitter: twitter.com/timevalueofbtc
Researcher Demian Schatt's Twitter: https://x.com/demianschatt
Lead Statistician Augustine Carrasco Twitter: https://x.com/AugustineCarrB
❗ The Bitcoin Layer and its guests do not provide investment advice.
Chapters:
00:00 Intro: Nvidia Earnings & Bitcoin Bounce?
00:14 Global Macro Update & Topics Preview
00:34 Money Markets Monitor Explained
01:28 Understanding Money Market Fund Assets
03:42 Focus: Treasury General Account vs. Fed Reserves
05:56 Liquidity, Market Impact, and Recent Risk Moves
08:43 Reserve Balances, TGA, and Stock Market Links
10:43 Liquidity Flows & Risk Markets Outlook
12:09 The Repo Market: Crisis Averted?
14:04 Repo Tightness and Market Reactions
15:13 Nvidia Earnings, AI Bubble Talk & US Economic Outlook
16:33 Fed's Treasury Holdings and Balance Sheet
18:01 Reserve Management: The Next Stage for the Fed
19:29 Fed Reserves as % of Banking Assets
20:09 Market Volatility & Bitcoin Price Action
21:24 Bitcoin Technical Support & S&P Correlation
23:04 Stock & Bitcoin Correlations, Market Catalysts
24:35 Bitcoin ETFs, Liquidations, and Sentiment Shift
25:12 STRC, Risk-Free Rates, and Yield Myths
27:17 Closing Thoughts & Monitoring Bond Volatility
In this episode, Nik breaks down whether Nvidia’s blockbuster earnings report can be the spark that turns momentum positive for Bitcoin as it tests the crucial $87,000 to $90,000 support. He walks through the money markets monitor, the TGA rollover, and how shifts in reserves, repo usage, and liquidity flows may have driven the recent drawdown across stocks and Bitcoin. Nik analyzes the Fed corridor, the standing repo facility, Treasury supply dynamics, bond volatility, and what growing correlations between Bitcoin and equities say about the path forward. He explains why the next few weeks hinge on liquidity, volatility, and whether the combined boost from Nvidia earnings and TGA spending can stabilize risk markets.
📚 Bitcoin Age is here, order yours today: https://a.co/d/5gau08H
📊 The Bitcoin Layer is a bitcoin and global macroeconomic research firm.
🔓 The Bitcoin Layer is proud to be sponsored by Unchained, the leader in Bitcoin financial services. Unchained empowers you to take full control of your Bitcoin with a collaborative multisig vault, where you hold two of three keys, and benefit from a Bitcoin security partner. Purchase Bitcoin directly into your cold storage vault and eliminate exchange risks with Unchained's Trading Desk. Unchained also offers the best IRA product in the industry, allowing you to easily roll over old 401(k)s or IRAs into Bitcoin while keeping control of your keys. Don’t pay more taxes than you have to. Talk to us today.
Visit unchained.com/tbl and use the code TBL10 for a 10% credit towards your first year's account fees.
📡 Blockstream delivers cutting-edge Bitcoin infrastructure. Discover the top-rated Blockstream Jade hardware wallet for secure offline storage, and explore the Blockstream Satellite for a seamless offline Bitcoin node experience — all available at the Blockstream Store. Visit: store.blockstream.com/discount/TBL for 10% off entire order.
🏡 Arch Lending is the Bitcoin-native solution for unlocking liquidity without selling your Bitcoin. Secure a loan using your Bitcoin as collateral, with zero rehypothecation and institutional-grade custody. Whether you're buying a home or investing in your business, Arch Lending helps you access capital while staying long BTC. Learn more at: archlending.com
▶️ Subscribe and turn on notifications for TBL on YouTube.
📚 Subscribe to TBL’s research letter: thebitcoinlayer.com/subscribe
🎧 Subscribe to The Bitcoin Layer on your favorite podcast platform.
📱 Follow TBL on X: twitter.com/TheBitcoinLayer
📩 Join the official TBL channel on Telegram: https://t.me/thebitcoinlayerofficial
🧢 Use code TBLYT10 for 10% off all The Bitcoin Layer Merch at TheBitcoinLayer.com/merch
⛓️ ₿lock Height 924358
⚡ Contribute to The Bitcoin Layer via Lightning Network: thebitcoinlayer@zbd.gg
Nik Bhatia's Twitter: twitter.com/timevalueofbtc
Researcher Demian Schatt's Twitter: https://x.com/demianschatt
Lead Statistician Augustine Carrasco Twitter: https://x.com/AugustineCarrB
❗ The Bitcoin Layer and its guests do not provide investment advice.
Chapters:
00:00 Intro: Nvidia Earnings & Bitcoin Bounce?
00:14 Global Macro Update & Topics Preview
00:34 Money Markets Monitor Explained
01:28 Understanding Money Market Fund Assets
03:42 Focus: Treasury General Account vs. Fed Reserves
05:56 Liquidity, Market Impact, and Recent Risk Moves
08:43 Reserve Balances, TGA, and Stock Market Links
10:43 Liquidity Flows & Risk Markets Outlook
12:09 The Repo Market: Crisis Averted?
14:04 Repo Tightness and Market Reactions
15:13 Nvidia Earnings, AI Bubble Talk & US Economic Outlook
16:33 Fed's Treasury Holdings and Balance Sheet
18:01 Reserve Management: The Next Stage for the Fed
19:29 Fed Reserves as % of Banking Assets
20:09 Market Volatility & Bitcoin Price Action
21:24 Bitcoin Technical Support & S&P Correlation
23:04 Stock & Bitcoin Correlations, Market Catalysts
24:35 Bitcoin ETFs, Liquidations, and Sentiment Shift
25:12 STRC, Risk-Free Rates, and Yield Myths
27:17 Closing Thoughts & Monitoring Bond Volatility
