Uploaded November 2017 | Updated September 2026, 1 week ago
Bayesian statistics - what are they? Do I want them? What do they have to do with epistemology, rationality, & prediction? Is it possible they’re happening inside me RIGHT NOW?
-Links for the Curious-
Arbital’s Guide to Bayes’s Rule - arbital.com/p/bayes_rule_guide
Bayes’s Theorem Illustrated (My Way) (komponisto, 2010) - lesswrong.com/lw/2b0/bayes_theorem_illustrated_my_way
How Bayesian Inference Works (Rohrer, 2016) - youtube.com/watch?v=5NMxiOGL39M
Book Review: Surfing Uncertainty (Alexander, 2017) - slatestarcodex.com/2017/09/05/book-review-surfing-uncertainty
The Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy - Bayesian Epistemology (Talbott, 2008) - https://plato.stanford.edu/entries/epistemology-bayesian/
Bayesian Epistemology Course Notes & Readings (Stefánsson, 2016) - http://orristefansson.is/bayesian-epistemology
Bayesian Statistics: Why and How (Dablander, 2015) - blog.efpsa.org/2015/08/03/bayesian-statistics-why-and-how
The New York Times’s review of “The Theory That Would Not Die,” a book about the history of Bayes’s Theorem (Paulos, 2011) - nytimes.com/2011/08/07/books/review/the-theory-that-would-not-die-by-sharon-bertsch-mcgrayne-book-review.html?pagewanted=all
Perceiving as Predicting (Clark & his amazing shirt, 2013, for the 9th International Symposium of Cognition, Logic and Communication) - youtu.be/05P41FQlgjI?t=12m45s
Wikipedia on "Receptive Field," a primitive neural structure that shows exactly the sort of shape/border recognition posited in "Layer 2" (thanks to Elena for this one!) - en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Receptive_field
Predictive Processing And Perceptual Control (Alexander, 2017) - slatestarcodex.com/2017/09/06/predictive-processing-and-perceptual-control
Predictive processing simplified: The infotropic machine (Thornton, 2017) - ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/27102775
Whatever next? Predictive brains, situated agents, and the future of cognitive science (Clark et al, 2017) - fil.ion.ucl.ac.uk/~karl/Whatever%20next.pdf
Bayesian statistics - what are they? Do I want them? What do they have to do with epistemology, rationality, & prediction? Is it possible they’re happening inside me RIGHT NOW?
-Links for the Curious-
Arbital’s Guide to Bayes’s Rule - arbital.com/p/bayes_rule_guide
Bayes’s Theorem Illustrated (My Way) (komponisto, 2010) - lesswrong.com/lw/2b0/bayes_theorem_illustrated_my_way
How Bayesian Inference Works (Rohrer, 2016) - youtube.com/watch?v=5NMxiOGL39M
Book Review: Surfing Uncertainty (Alexander, 2017) - slatestarcodex.com/2017/09/05/book-review-surfing-uncertainty
The Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy - Bayesian Epistemology (Talbott, 2008) - https://plato.stanford.edu/entries/epistemology-bayesian/
Bayesian Epistemology Course Notes & Readings (Stefánsson, 2016) - http://orristefansson.is/bayesian-epistemology
Bayesian Statistics: Why and How (Dablander, 2015) - blog.efpsa.org/2015/08/03/bayesian-statistics-why-and-how
The New York Times’s review of “The Theory That Would Not Die,” a book about the history of Bayes’s Theorem (Paulos, 2011) - nytimes.com/2011/08/07/books/review/the-theory-that-would-not-die-by-sharon-bertsch-mcgrayne-book-review.html?pagewanted=all
Perceiving as Predicting (Clark & his amazing shirt, 2013, for the 9th International Symposium of Cognition, Logic and Communication) - youtu.be/05P41FQlgjI?t=12m45s
Wikipedia on "Receptive Field," a primitive neural structure that shows exactly the sort of shape/border recognition posited in "Layer 2" (thanks to Elena for this one!) - en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Receptive_field
Predictive Processing And Perceptual Control (Alexander, 2017) - slatestarcodex.com/2017/09/06/predictive-processing-and-perceptual-control
Predictive processing simplified: The infotropic machine (Thornton, 2017) - ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/27102775
Whatever next? Predictive brains, situated agents, and the future of cognitive science (Clark et al, 2017) - fil.ion.ucl.ac.uk/~karl/Whatever%20next.pdf
