Uploaded July 2016 | Updated September 2026, 2 weeks ago
There's a lot of talk about the ethics of autonomous vehicles...but maybe it's not as big a deal as people are making it.
-Links for the Curious-
Patrick Lin's "The Ethical Dilemma of Self-Driving Cars - youtube.com/watch?v=ixIoDYVfKA0
"Why Self-Driving Cars Must be Programmed to Kill" - technologyreview.com/s/542626/why-self-driving-cars-must-be-programmed-to-kill
"How to Help Self-Driving Cars Make Ethical Decisions" - technologyreview.com/s/539731/how-to-help-self-driving-cars-make-ethical-decisions
A chapter from a book on autonomous vehicles written by Lin, detailing many of his arguments for ethical AV design - goo.gl/OKgisk
"Reciprocal Collision Avoidance for Multiple Car-like Robots", a paper detailing many of the challenges of creating networked automated vehicles (let alone independent ones) - disneyresearch.com/wp-content/uploads/alonsomora12icra_paper.pdf
"Driver Killed While Using Tesla's 'Autopilot' Feature" - huffingtonpost.com/entry/tesla-autopilot-accident-crash-death_us_577584afe4b0a629c1a95099
Some details about the Apple petition to ban the use of toxic chemicals in some of their manufacturing facilities - blog.greenamerica.org/2014/08/14/victory-apple-to-remove-two-potent-toxins-from-supplier-factories
There's a lot of talk about the ethics of autonomous vehicles...but maybe it's not as big a deal as people are making it.
-Links for the Curious-
Patrick Lin's "The Ethical Dilemma of Self-Driving Cars - youtube.com/watch?v=ixIoDYVfKA0
"Why Self-Driving Cars Must be Programmed to Kill" - technologyreview.com/s/542626/why-self-driving-cars-must-be-programmed-to-kill
"How to Help Self-Driving Cars Make Ethical Decisions" - technologyreview.com/s/539731/how-to-help-self-driving-cars-make-ethical-decisions
A chapter from a book on autonomous vehicles written by Lin, detailing many of his arguments for ethical AV design - goo.gl/OKgisk
"Reciprocal Collision Avoidance for Multiple Car-like Robots", a paper detailing many of the challenges of creating networked automated vehicles (let alone independent ones) - disneyresearch.com/wp-content/uploads/alonsomora12icra_paper.pdf
"Driver Killed While Using Tesla's 'Autopilot' Feature" - huffingtonpost.com/entry/tesla-autopilot-accident-crash-death_us_577584afe4b0a629c1a95099
Some details about the Apple petition to ban the use of toxic chemicals in some of their manufacturing facilities - blog.greenamerica.org/2014/08/14/victory-apple-to-remove-two-potent-toxins-from-supplier-factories








![189. The Reference Class Problem | THUNK
2 out of 10 people who read this will watch this episode. 1 in 20 subscribers will watch it. ...I wonder how many subscribers who read it will watch?
- Links for the Curious -
The reference class problem is your problem too (Hajek, 2007) - http://joelvelasco.net/teaching/3865/hajek%20-the%20reference%20class%20problem.pdf
The Logic of Chance by John Venn - http://www.gutenberg.org/files/57359/57359-h/57359-h.htm
Is it a Crime to Belong to a Reference Class? (Colyvan et al, 2001) - http://colyvan.com/papers/shonubi.pdf
United States v. Shonubi [Shonubi III] United States District Court for the Eastern District of New York, 1995 895 F.Supp 460 I - https://sociologicalgobbledygook.com/shonubi.pdf
All models are wrong… (Wit et al, 2012) - https://www.rug.nl/research/portal/files/13270992/2012StatistNeerlWit.pdf
The reference class problem and its implications for project management - https://eight2late.wordpress.com/2010/05/13/the-reference-class-problem-and-its-implications-for-project-management/
Four approaches to the reference class problem (Wallman & Williamson, 2015) - https://blogs.kent.ac.uk/jonw/files/2015/01/RCP.pdf
Symmetry is the Very Guide to Life (Hajek, 2007) - http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/download?doi=10.1.1.318.2402&rep=rep1&type=pdf 189. The Reference Class Problem | THUNK](https://i.ytimg.com/vi/vFS66BK9fRQ/mqdefault.jpg)

