Uploaded June 2026 | Updated September 2026, 22 hours ago

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With Robin Hanson, the pioneer of modern prediction markets and Associate Professor of Economics at George Mason University. Robin first proposed the idea of modern prediction markets in 1988, long before crypto and blockchain made them accessible to millions.

We discuss why prediction markets may become one of the world's most powerful tools for aggregating information, making better decisions, and challenging traditional institutions.

- Why prediction markets are about information and not gambling
- Why markets can outperform polls and traditional forecasting
- Should insider trading be allowed in prediction markets?
- How companies could use prediction markets to make better decisions
- The future of corporate governance powered by markets
- Why prediction markets may reshape politics and public policy
- The tension between privacy, transparency, and regulation
- Why incumbents often resist prediction markets
- How crypto is accelerating the adoption of prediction markets
- Robin Hanson's vision for the future of decision-making

Prediction markets are still in their early days, but they could fundamentally change how companies, governments, and individuals make decisions.

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