Noel Plum | The Science Paper That Has Changed US and UK Covid-19 Policy @noelplum99 | Uploaded March 2020 | Updated October 2024, 1 week ago.
NOTE: 5:52 MISSPOKE. Should have said "There is another strategy, the mitigation strategy"
NOTE 2 Prediction of education strategy was wrong. Exams postponed, schools provision will be for children of "key workers".
You may or may not know that a few days ago Imperial College London made public the recent scientific advice that has informed the change of strategy towards COVID-19 that we have seen by the US and UK governments.
Here is a link to the document:
imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/sph/ide/gida-fellowships/Imperial-College-COVID19-NPI-modelling-16-03-2020.pdf
In this video (starting at 5 mins in) I just outline the predictive models that they have set out so you can see what lies ahead now that we are adopting a "suppress" rather than a "mitigate" strategy.
I think for many viewers the timescales will come as something of a shock.
Enjoy, and if you enjoy my work please consider supporting this channel via the links below:
patreon.com/noelplum99
paypal.com/cgi-bin/webscr?cmd=_s-xclick&hosted_button_id=28BRVRN2DUQL6&source=url
subscribestar.com/noel-plum
NOTE: 5:52 MISSPOKE. Should have said "There is another strategy, the mitigation strategy"
NOTE 2 Prediction of education strategy was wrong. Exams postponed, schools provision will be for children of "key workers".
You may or may not know that a few days ago Imperial College London made public the recent scientific advice that has informed the change of strategy towards COVID-19 that we have seen by the US and UK governments.
Here is a link to the document:
imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/sph/ide/gida-fellowships/Imperial-College-COVID19-NPI-modelling-16-03-2020.pdf
In this video (starting at 5 mins in) I just outline the predictive models that they have set out so you can see what lies ahead now that we are adopting a "suppress" rather than a "mitigate" strategy.
I think for many viewers the timescales will come as something of a shock.
Enjoy, and if you enjoy my work please consider supporting this channel via the links below:
patreon.com/noelplum99
paypal.com/cgi-bin/webscr?cmd=_s-xclick&hosted_button_id=28BRVRN2DUQL6&source=url
subscribestar.com/noel-plum