Uploaded December 2025 | Updated September 2026, 2 weeks ago
The Ongoing Rise of Renewables and the Looming Collapse of Fossil Fuels: Unstoppable…
"Whether the world addresses global warming, air pollution, and energy insecurity in a timely manner
depends largely on country transition rates to clean, renewable energy. Yet, no study has examined
transition rates by country, especially using recent data. This study estimates when 150 countries can potentially transition to 100% clean, renewable energy across all energy sectors, upon near electrification of each sector, if the countries add such energy at their most recent rates. Such
a transition eliminates air pollution and carbon emissions from energy. Results suggest the world's
largest energy consumer and emitter, China, is currently on track to transition fully, thus eliminate 100% of its energy-related health- and climate-damaging pollution, by 2051. China's projected 2025
renewable output increase is 20 times France's fastest (in 1981) nuclear output increase. Further, in 2025, China may already produce ∼54% of the clean, renewable energy that the United States will need for supplying 100% of its all-sector demand with clean, renewable energy in 2050. Seven countries could potentially reach 100% renewables faster than China. India and the United States may reach 100% only beyond 2130. Thus, policies focusing on clean, renewable energy alone can effectively speed a transition."
Abstract for Peer-reviewed scientific paper by Mark Z. Jacobson in the Royal Society of Chemistry:
pubs.rsc.org/en/content/articlepdf/2026/su/d5su00912j
"The fact that the world's largest energy consumer and emitter, China, could eliminate its energy-related air pollution- and climate-relevant emissions by 2051 due to its rapid pace of WWS deployment should give hope to the world. The fact that China is already producing so much WWS electricity that it may supply, in 2025 ∼54% of what the U.S. needs in 2050 to go 100%
WWS across all energy sectors, indicates there is no technical or economic barrier stopping the U.S. from reaching 100% WWS either. Because seven countries are further ahead than China in
the transition, there is hope for other countries as well. These results suggest that the main barriers to a transition in any country are generally not technical or economic, but social and
political. China's energy transition is being carried out with enormous amounts of solar, wind, and hydro as well as electric vehicles and electric heat pumps. China is installing WWS electricity at
a rate almost two orders of magnitude the rate it is installing new nuclear. The country is also not distracted much by carbon capture, direct air capture, blue hydrogen, biofuels, or biomass.
The examples set by China and several other countries suggest that the world as a whole can succeed in a rapid transition if all countries make a strong social and political commitment to
a transition and focus, like a laser, on clean, renewable energy."
Mark Z. Jacobson BlueSky: https://bsky.app/profile/mzjacobson.bsky.social
Science Journal article: science.org/content/article/breakthrough-2025
Here Comes the Sun: science.org/doi/epdf/10.1126/science.aee6842
2025 Breakthrough of the Year: science.org/doi/epdf/10.1126/science.aee8000
Google Earth Images (just google)
SANY’s Shaoshan Blade Factory the World’s First Wind Power “Lighthouse Factory” sanyglobal.com/press_releases/3807
China to add 120 GW of new wind capacity annually starting in 2026
energiesmedia.com/china-to-add-120-gw-new-wind-capacity-annually
Lithium-ion battery pack prices fall to $108/kWh, stationary storage becomes lowest price segment ess-news.com/2025/12/09/bnef-lithium-ion-battery-pack-prices-fall-to-108-kwh-stationary-storage-becomes-lowest-price-segment
Global Wind Energy Monitor Tracker: globalenergymonitor.org/projects/global-wind-power-tracker
From my friend Heidi: Paul Beckwith is doing incredible work to educate people about climate change and extreme weather, but he needs our support to continue this vital mission. Every donation, no matter the size, can make a difference in helping him reach more communities. Please consider clicking the link below to donate or share it... Thank you!
Year end GoFundMe:
https://www.gofundme.com/f/help-paul-...
Please donate to PaulBeckwith.net to support my research and videos connecting the dots on abrupt climate system mayhem.
Please subscribe to my YouTube channel. As well as my website, and YouTube, you can find me on Patreon, Facebook, Twitter/X, LinkedIn, Instagram, Reddit (multiple climate channels within), Quora, TikTok, Discord, Mastodon, Twitch, Vimeo, Bluesky, TruthSocial, Threads, Substack, Tumblr, Pinterest, etc...
The Ongoing Rise of Renewables and the Looming Collapse of Fossil Fuels: Unstoppable…
"Whether the world addresses global warming, air pollution, and energy insecurity in a timely manner
depends largely on country transition rates to clean, renewable energy. Yet, no study has examined
transition rates by country, especially using recent data. This study estimates when 150 countries can potentially transition to 100% clean, renewable energy across all energy sectors, upon near electrification of each sector, if the countries add such energy at their most recent rates. Such
a transition eliminates air pollution and carbon emissions from energy. Results suggest the world's
largest energy consumer and emitter, China, is currently on track to transition fully, thus eliminate 100% of its energy-related health- and climate-damaging pollution, by 2051. China's projected 2025
renewable output increase is 20 times France's fastest (in 1981) nuclear output increase. Further, in 2025, China may already produce ∼54% of the clean, renewable energy that the United States will need for supplying 100% of its all-sector demand with clean, renewable energy in 2050. Seven countries could potentially reach 100% renewables faster than China. India and the United States may reach 100% only beyond 2130. Thus, policies focusing on clean, renewable energy alone can effectively speed a transition."
Abstract for Peer-reviewed scientific paper by Mark Z. Jacobson in the Royal Society of Chemistry:
pubs.rsc.org/en/content/articlepdf/2026/su/d5su00912j
"The fact that the world's largest energy consumer and emitter, China, could eliminate its energy-related air pollution- and climate-relevant emissions by 2051 due to its rapid pace of WWS deployment should give hope to the world. The fact that China is already producing so much WWS electricity that it may supply, in 2025 ∼54% of what the U.S. needs in 2050 to go 100%
WWS across all energy sectors, indicates there is no technical or economic barrier stopping the U.S. from reaching 100% WWS either. Because seven countries are further ahead than China in
the transition, there is hope for other countries as well. These results suggest that the main barriers to a transition in any country are generally not technical or economic, but social and
political. China's energy transition is being carried out with enormous amounts of solar, wind, and hydro as well as electric vehicles and electric heat pumps. China is installing WWS electricity at
a rate almost two orders of magnitude the rate it is installing new nuclear. The country is also not distracted much by carbon capture, direct air capture, blue hydrogen, biofuels, or biomass.
The examples set by China and several other countries suggest that the world as a whole can succeed in a rapid transition if all countries make a strong social and political commitment to
a transition and focus, like a laser, on clean, renewable energy."
Mark Z. Jacobson BlueSky: https://bsky.app/profile/mzjacobson.bsky.social
Science Journal article: science.org/content/article/breakthrough-2025
Here Comes the Sun: science.org/doi/epdf/10.1126/science.aee6842
2025 Breakthrough of the Year: science.org/doi/epdf/10.1126/science.aee8000
Google Earth Images (just google)
SANY’s Shaoshan Blade Factory the World’s First Wind Power “Lighthouse Factory” sanyglobal.com/press_releases/3807
China to add 120 GW of new wind capacity annually starting in 2026
energiesmedia.com/china-to-add-120-gw-new-wind-capacity-annually
Lithium-ion battery pack prices fall to $108/kWh, stationary storage becomes lowest price segment ess-news.com/2025/12/09/bnef-lithium-ion-battery-pack-prices-fall-to-108-kwh-stationary-storage-becomes-lowest-price-segment
Global Wind Energy Monitor Tracker: globalenergymonitor.org/projects/global-wind-power-tracker
From my friend Heidi: Paul Beckwith is doing incredible work to educate people about climate change and extreme weather, but he needs our support to continue this vital mission. Every donation, no matter the size, can make a difference in helping him reach more communities. Please consider clicking the link below to donate or share it... Thank you!
Year end GoFundMe:
https://www.gofundme.com/f/help-paul-...
Please donate to PaulBeckwith.net to support my research and videos connecting the dots on abrupt climate system mayhem.
Please subscribe to my YouTube channel. As well as my website, and YouTube, you can find me on Patreon, Facebook, Twitter/X, LinkedIn, Instagram, Reddit (multiple climate channels within), Quora, TikTok, Discord, Mastodon, Twitch, Vimeo, Bluesky, TruthSocial, Threads, Substack, Tumblr, Pinterest, etc...
