Should we prepare for a recession? @ECON102Podcast
Should we prepare for a recession?  @ECON102Podcast
Uploaded January 2024 | Updated September 2026, 2 hours ago
This week Erik Torenberg and Noah Smith are joined by Itay Vinik, Co-Founder & Chief Investment Officer at Equi, to explore their different perspectives on the current state of the economy and the likelihood of a recession. Match a donation up to $100 for your favorite charity with GiveWell by going to givewell.org and pick “Podcast” and enter Econ 102 at checkout.


❗️ We're hiring across the board at Turpentine and for Erik's personal team on other projects he's incubating. He's hiring a Chief of Staff, EA, Head of Special Projects, Investment Associate, and more. For a list of JDs, check out: eriktorenberg.com.
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Sponsors: GIVEWELL | NETSUITE
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📈 Econ 102 is a part of the Turpentine podcast network. To learn more: turpentine.co


LINKS:
- Noahpinion on Substack: https://www.noahpinion.blog/


X / TWITTER:
@VinikItay (Itay)
@eriktorenberg (Erik)
@noahpinion (Noah)
@Econ102_Podcast (Econ 102)
@moz_podcast (Moment of Zen)
@TurpentineMedia


TIMESTAMPS
(00:00) Intro
(00:43) The current state of U.S. economy
(03:23) Future economic trends
(08:05) Economic indicators and predictions
(15:04) SPONSOR: GIVEWELL
(16:31) Cont. economic indicators and predictions
(19:24) Potential economic risks
(21:26) Inflation and fiscal policy
(29:09) SPONSOR: NETSUITE
(32:28) Inflation and monetary policy
(35:09) Recapitalization of the banking system
(36:14) Long-term deflationary trends
(43:03) Housing’s role in wealth effect
(48:01) Risky debt
(55:02) Conclusions on the future of the economy

Music license:
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Should we prepare for a recession?

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