Uploaded June 2012 | Updated September 2026, 1 week ago
MIT No-Evacuation-Study Press Release:
http://web.mit.edu/newsoffice/2012/prolonged-radiation-exposure-0515.html
MIT Awarded Nuclear Promotion Grant:
http://web.mit.edu/newsoffice/2012/mit-doe-grants-fellowships.html
MIT Plan For 3X More Nuclear Energy:
http://web.mit.edu/nuclearpower/
Critique of the MIT no-evacuations study:
simplyinfo.org/?p=6081
The MIT Study:
Olipitz W, Wiktor-Brown D, Shuga J, Pang B, McFaline J, Lonkar P, Thomas A, Mutamba JT, Greenberger JS, Samson LD, Dedon PC, Yanch JC, Engelward BP. Integrated Molecular Analysis Indicates Undetectable DNA Damage in Mice after Continuous Irradiation at ~400-fold Natural Background Radiation. Environ Health Perspect. 2012 Apr 26. ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/22538203
Tanaka et al 2009, find significant genotoxicity at 1/3rd MIT dose:
ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/19267556
Calculate number cells required to detect significance in Tanaka at 105 mGy (total dose in MIT study): iangoddard.com/cell_detection-limit.xls
Google search for Chernobyl-induced genetic damage:
google.com/search?q=chernobyl+chromosomal+aberrations
Fucic et al 2008, meta-analysis of Chernobyl-induced genetic damage:
ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/18155954
Geiger counter near Fukushima Daiichi
youtube.com/watch?v=9FoWRVA6mMY#t=7m20s
Note: data in my graph of Tanaka 2009 are from Dr Tanaka (email).
###
Below is my letter to the editors of Environmental Health Perspectives (EHP) who published Olipitz et l. (2012). My letter below was in response to the author's response to a letter from Peter Melzer that raised some issues addressed in this video.
Letter from Melzer: ehp.niehs.nih.gov/1205595
Reply to Melzer from Olipitz co-authors: ehp.niehs.nih.gov/1205595r
However, it turns out that the EHP does not accept replies to a reply by authors to a response letter. Nevertheless the points I raised below are salient to critique of the defense by colleagues of Olipitz against some critiques raised in this video...
###
Dear editors,
In their response to Melzer, Engelward and Yanch (2012) make an erroneous claim about the methods of Tanaka et al. (2009). They claim:
"In his letter, Melzer correctly points out that data of Tanaka et al. (2009) show a statistically significant increase in chromzosome aberrations in cells from mice exposed to 1 mGy/day up to a total of 1,000 mGy. However, after exposure to that same dose-rate for a longer period (up to 8,000 mGy), there was no statistically significant change in the number of chromosome aberrations."
Even before consulting Tanaka et al. (2009) the careful reader can see a problem. For a dose-rate of 1 mGy per day to accumulate to a total dose of 8,000 mGy requires 8,000 days, or about 22 years. However, mice only live 2 to 3 years. So immediately we can see that their claim cannot be true.
And in fact, consistent with mouse lifespan, Tanaka et al. (2009) only exposed the 1 mGy/day dose group for 615 days for a cumulative dose of 615 mGy. This is stated throughout its text, tables and figures and was additionally confirmed in my personal correspondence with Tanaka.
So Engelward and Yanch rebutted Melzer's report of an error in Oliptiz et al. (2012) with yet another error. Contrary to their portrayal of Tanaka et al. in Oliptiz et al., Tanaka and colleagues did in fact report a statistically significant increase in chromosomal aberrations at an even lower dose-rate than Oliptiz and colleagues used.
The source of Engelward and Yanch's confusion is that Tanaka et al. contains a mathematical model of hypothetical exposure of the 1 mGy/day dose group for 8,000 days. However, while significance disappeared in that model, it did not reflect real empirical data as Engelward and Yanch errantly assert. Given this, perhaps they will consider the recommendation they made (Yanch & Engelward, 2012) in reply to Beyea that "we need to begin relying on data and not on hypothetical models."
References
Engelward B, Yanch J. 2012. Radiation Dose‑Rate: Engelward and Yanch Respond. Environ Health Perspect. 120:a417--a418. @ ehp.niehs.nih.gov/1205595r
Olipitz W, Wiktor-Brown D, Shuga J, Pang B, McFaline J, Lonkar P, et al. 2012. Integrated molecular analysis indicates undetectable change in DNA damage in mice after continuous irradiation at ~ 400-fold natural background radiation. Environ Health Perspect 120:1130--1136. @ ehp.niehs.nih.gov/1104294
Tanaka K, Kohda A, Satoh K, Toyokawa T, Ichinohe K, Ohtaki M, et al. 2009. Dose-rate effectiveness for unstable-type chromosome aberrations detected in mice after continuous irradiation with low-dose-rate γ rays. Radiat Res 171(3):290--301. @ pubmed.com/19267556
Yanch J, Engelward B. 2012. DNA Damage after Continuous Irradiation: Yanch and Engelward Respond. Environ Health Perspect. 120:a383--a384. @ ehp.niehs.nih.gov/1205564r
.
MIT No-Evacuation-Study Press Release:
http://web.mit.edu/newsoffice/2012/prolonged-radiation-exposure-0515.html
MIT Awarded Nuclear Promotion Grant:
http://web.mit.edu/newsoffice/2012/mit-doe-grants-fellowships.html
MIT Plan For 3X More Nuclear Energy:
http://web.mit.edu/nuclearpower/
Critique of the MIT no-evacuations study:
simplyinfo.org/?p=6081
The MIT Study:
Olipitz W, Wiktor-Brown D, Shuga J, Pang B, McFaline J, Lonkar P, Thomas A, Mutamba JT, Greenberger JS, Samson LD, Dedon PC, Yanch JC, Engelward BP. Integrated Molecular Analysis Indicates Undetectable DNA Damage in Mice after Continuous Irradiation at ~400-fold Natural Background Radiation. Environ Health Perspect. 2012 Apr 26. ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/22538203
Tanaka et al 2009, find significant genotoxicity at 1/3rd MIT dose:
ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/19267556
Calculate number cells required to detect significance in Tanaka at 105 mGy (total dose in MIT study): iangoddard.com/cell_detection-limit.xls
Google search for Chernobyl-induced genetic damage:
google.com/search?q=chernobyl+chromosomal+aberrations
Fucic et al 2008, meta-analysis of Chernobyl-induced genetic damage:
ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/18155954
Geiger counter near Fukushima Daiichi
youtube.com/watch?v=9FoWRVA6mMY#t=7m20s
Note: data in my graph of Tanaka 2009 are from Dr Tanaka (email).
###
Below is my letter to the editors of Environmental Health Perspectives (EHP) who published Olipitz et l. (2012). My letter below was in response to the author's response to a letter from Peter Melzer that raised some issues addressed in this video.
Letter from Melzer: ehp.niehs.nih.gov/1205595
Reply to Melzer from Olipitz co-authors: ehp.niehs.nih.gov/1205595r
However, it turns out that the EHP does not accept replies to a reply by authors to a response letter. Nevertheless the points I raised below are salient to critique of the defense by colleagues of Olipitz against some critiques raised in this video...
###
Dear editors,
In their response to Melzer, Engelward and Yanch (2012) make an erroneous claim about the methods of Tanaka et al. (2009). They claim:
"In his letter, Melzer correctly points out that data of Tanaka et al. (2009) show a statistically significant increase in chromzosome aberrations in cells from mice exposed to 1 mGy/day up to a total of 1,000 mGy. However, after exposure to that same dose-rate for a longer period (up to 8,000 mGy), there was no statistically significant change in the number of chromosome aberrations."
Even before consulting Tanaka et al. (2009) the careful reader can see a problem. For a dose-rate of 1 mGy per day to accumulate to a total dose of 8,000 mGy requires 8,000 days, or about 22 years. However, mice only live 2 to 3 years. So immediately we can see that their claim cannot be true.
And in fact, consistent with mouse lifespan, Tanaka et al. (2009) only exposed the 1 mGy/day dose group for 615 days for a cumulative dose of 615 mGy. This is stated throughout its text, tables and figures and was additionally confirmed in my personal correspondence with Tanaka.
So Engelward and Yanch rebutted Melzer's report of an error in Oliptiz et al. (2012) with yet another error. Contrary to their portrayal of Tanaka et al. in Oliptiz et al., Tanaka and colleagues did in fact report a statistically significant increase in chromosomal aberrations at an even lower dose-rate than Oliptiz and colleagues used.
The source of Engelward and Yanch's confusion is that Tanaka et al. contains a mathematical model of hypothetical exposure of the 1 mGy/day dose group for 8,000 days. However, while significance disappeared in that model, it did not reflect real empirical data as Engelward and Yanch errantly assert. Given this, perhaps they will consider the recommendation they made (Yanch & Engelward, 2012) in reply to Beyea that "we need to begin relying on data and not on hypothetical models."
References
Engelward B, Yanch J. 2012. Radiation Dose‑Rate: Engelward and Yanch Respond. Environ Health Perspect. 120:a417--a418. @ ehp.niehs.nih.gov/1205595r
Olipitz W, Wiktor-Brown D, Shuga J, Pang B, McFaline J, Lonkar P, et al. 2012. Integrated molecular analysis indicates undetectable change in DNA damage in mice after continuous irradiation at ~ 400-fold natural background radiation. Environ Health Perspect 120:1130--1136. @ ehp.niehs.nih.gov/1104294
Tanaka K, Kohda A, Satoh K, Toyokawa T, Ichinohe K, Ohtaki M, et al. 2009. Dose-rate effectiveness for unstable-type chromosome aberrations detected in mice after continuous irradiation with low-dose-rate γ rays. Radiat Res 171(3):290--301. @ pubmed.com/19267556
Yanch J, Engelward B. 2012. DNA Damage after Continuous Irradiation: Yanch and Engelward Respond. Environ Health Perspect. 120:a383--a384. @ ehp.niehs.nih.gov/1205564r
.



![Fukushima Explosion Measurements 福島第一
This is just to let my subscribers know Im still here, busy working on my next video. These are a few of the analytical elements of it that I decided to post now as a preview without explanation other that what should be obvious in these visual displays. The full video these are a part of is taking forever!
by translate.google.com :
これは私の加入者は、私がまだここにいる私の次のビデオで大忙しだお知らせするだけです。これらは私が説明内容は、これらの視覚的なディスプレイで明らかにする必要があることを、他のことなくプレビューとして、今すぐ投稿することを決めたその分析要素のほんの一部です。完全なビデオは、これらの永遠に取っているの一部です!
NY Times cites fuel in fragments or particles found up to a mile away:
United States government engineers sent to help with the crisis in Japan are warning that the troubled nuclear plant there is facing a wide array of fresh threats that could persist indefinitely [...] according to a confidential assessment prepared by the Nuclear Regulatory Commission. [...] The document, which was obtained by The New York Times [...] The document also suggests that fragments or particles of nuclear fuel from spent fuel pools above the reactors were blown up to one mile from the units, and that pieces of highly radioactive material fell between two units and had to be bulldozed over, presumably to protect workers at the site.
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/04/06/world/asia/06nuclear.html
From the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commissions confidential assessment of Fukushima : Fuel pool is heating up but is adequately cooled, and fuel may have been ejected from the pool (based on information from TEPCO of neutron sources found up to 1 mile from the units, and very high dose rate material that had to be bulldozed over between Units 3 and 4). Page 10: http://www.wdr.de/tv/monitor//sendungen/2011/0407/pdf/Assessment.pdf
A Neutron source is a device that emits neutrons.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Neutron_source
ニューヨークタイムズは、燃料の部分は、最大見つかりました引用マイル離れたところ:
米国政府のエンジニアが問題を抱えた原子力発電所は、いつまでも続く可能性が新鮮な脅威[...]原子力規制委員会が作成した機密情報の評価に応じて、幅広いに直面しているが警告している日本の危機を助けるに送信されます。文書ニューヨークタイムズ[...]により得られた文書を、[...]また、フラグメントまたは炉上の使用済燃料プールからの核燃料の粒子が単位から1マイルまで吹き飛ばされたことを示唆していると高レベル放射性材料の部分は、2つのユニット間の落ちたことと、おそらく、サイトでの労働者を保護しています。以上のブルドーザーしなければならなかった Fukushima Explosion Measurements 福島第一](https://i.ytimg.com/vi/l3CJLNJpUVo/mqdefault.jpg)






![Does Marijuana Cause Schizophrenia?
The Mendelian randomization studies reviewed in this video...
Gage et al (2017). Assessing causality in associations between cannabis use and schizophrenia risk: a two-sample Mendelian randomization study. @ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5341491/
Vaucher et al (2017). Cannabis use and risk of schizophrenia: a Mendelian randomization study. @ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5984096/
Pasman et al (2018). GWAS of lifetime cannabis use reveals new risk loci, genetic overlap with psychiatric traits, and a causal influence of schizophrenia. @ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6386176/
The sensitivity analyses reviewed @ 4:03 are from Pasman et al (2018), Supplementary Figure 9(a)(b)(c) @ https://static-content.springer.com/esm/art%3A10.1038%2Fs41593-018-0206-1/MediaObjects/41593_2018_206_MOESM1_ESM.pdf#page=17
My description of P values in this video is influenced by Sander Greenland and others [1,2] who advance an interpretation some call compatibilism, [3] which does a good job of both avoiding common misconceptions and being intuitive and simple to understand. Over the last couple decades their views have been gaining the upper hand, [4] eroding over-reliance on P values and statistical significance, ushering in a far more ‘relaxed’ non-alpha-centric interpretation of P values. I strove in this video to convey that interpretation, which includes not accepting or rejecting a test hypothesis simply because its p value is over or under 0.05.
[1] https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10654-016-0149-3
[2] https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/00031305.2018.1529625
[3] https://lesslikely.com/statistics/s-values/
[4] https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-019-00857-9 Does Marijuana Cause Schizophrenia?](https://i.ytimg.com/vi/rzG2DHOxoBw/mqdefault.jpg)