Uploaded May 2025 | Updated September 2026, 3 weeks ago
Our next threshold is the increased frequency of magnitude 7.0 earthquakes. Once such events begin occurring on a regular basis—just as magnitude 6.0 earthquakes already do—there will be nothing left to change. And what could we have done? That is the question. The release of pressure in Earth’s interior through the degassing of the Siberian magma plume, which I have discussed extensively in my previous addresses, may become a futile measure if we wait until earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 become frequent.
The seismic activity chart is now our countdown, marking the days remaining before the point of no return. How much time is left? Five years ago, magnitude 5.0 earthquakes began to rise steadily, occurring within the span of a week. Today, we are already seeing consistent events exceeding magnitude 6.0. The math is simple. The previous phase of seismic escalation unfolded in a relatively short time. Clearly, when calculating the time we have left before crossing the threshold, we must account for the exponential acceleration in earthquake frequency.
Look at the chart showing the number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.0 and above by year, based on data from the International Seismological Centre (ISC). Do you see that clear exponential curve?
Our next threshold is the increased frequency of magnitude 7.0 earthquakes. Once such events begin occurring on a regular basis—just as magnitude 6.0 earthquakes already do—there will be nothing left to change. And what could we have done? That is the question. The release of pressure in Earth’s interior through the degassing of the Siberian magma plume, which I have discussed extensively in my previous addresses, may become a futile measure if we wait until earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 become frequent.
The seismic activity chart is now our countdown, marking the days remaining before the point of no return. How much time is left? Five years ago, magnitude 5.0 earthquakes began to rise steadily, occurring within the span of a week. Today, we are already seeing consistent events exceeding magnitude 6.0. The math is simple. The previous phase of seismic escalation unfolded in a relatively short time. Clearly, when calculating the time we have left before crossing the threshold, we must account for the exponential acceleration in earthquake frequency.
Look at the chart showing the number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.0 and above by year, based on data from the International Seismological Centre (ISC). Do you see that clear exponential curve?
