Perun | Iran's Military Strategy & Power Projection - Drones, Proxies & Production under Sanctions @PerunAU | Uploaded November 2023 | Updated October 2024, 5 days ago.
Compared to many of the other militaries we’ve looked at, Iran’s force structure and overarching strategy stands out.
From its arsenal of Shah era weapons to its new generation of missiles, in this episode we did a bit deeper into Iran’s military capabilities, limitations, and the industrial capabilities behind them.
Patreon:
patreon.com/PerunAU
Relevant Reading/sourcing
Platform figures per MB2022 as always for sake of consistency with my other works.
IMF data on Iran
imf.org/external/datamapper/PCPIPCH@WEO/IRN?zoom=IRN&highlight=IRNv
IAEA Director General’s Statement on Verification in Iran
iaea.org/newscenter/pressreleases/iaea-director-generals-statement-on-verification-in-iran-0
Reporting on the IRGC vs Artesh budget
defensenews.com/global/mideast-africa/2021/12/16/iran-more-than-doubles-revolutionary-guards-budget-in-fy22-bill
CSIS – The Iranian Missile Threat – Anthony Cordesman
csis.org/analysis/iranian-missile-threat
CSIS – Missile Defence Project Iran
missilethreat.csis.org/country/iran
Iran friendly fire incident
theguardian.com/world/2020/may/11/iranian-navy-ship-hit-by-missile-in-fatal-friendly-fire-incident-in-gulf
IAEA head on Iran
reuters.com/world/world-must-not-fail-iran-it-did-north-korea-iaea-chief-says-2023-10-16
Featured Times article on IRGC in Syria
time.com/90807/iran-syria-revolutionary-guard
IAEA reporting on Iran (Reuters)
reuters.com/world/middle-east/iaea-reports-no-progress-iran-uranium-stock-enriched-60-grows-2023-09-04
Iran missile test
apnews.com/article/iran-khorramshahr-ballistic-missile-nuclear-tensions-017382e19220700c618eeb51d0bd8b94
FP – Iran is filling Armenia’s power vacuum
foreignpolicy.com/2022/12/01/iran-armenia-azerbaijan-conflict-russia-nagorno-karabakh-syunik
Reporting on Saudi-Iran détente
foreignpolicy.com/2023/06/12/saudi-iran-rapprochement-normalization-deal-china-de-escalation-yemen-syria
Fakour images
irangeomil.blogspot.com/2018/07/analysis-fakour-air-to-air-missile.htmlv
French statement on Iran’s nuclear program
onu.delegfrance.org/we-remain-determined-that-iran-must-never-develop-a-nuclear-weapon-and-must
CRS Reports:
Iran and Nuclear Weapons Production
crsreports.congress.gov/product/pdf/IF/IF12106
Iran’s Nuclear Program – compliance with international obligations
sgp.fas.org/crs/nuke/R40094.pdf
Iran’s Nuclear Program and U.N. Sanctions Reimposition
crsreports.congress.gov/product/pdf/IF/IF11583
Michael Eisenstadt – IISS - Iran after Sanctions: Military Procurement and Force-Structure Decisions
iiss.org/globalassets/media-library---content--migration/images/comment/analysis/2017/december/3-eisenstadt2125.pdf
Michael Eisenstadt - Iranian military developments and trends
washingtoninstitute.org/media/6362
Iran’s Foreign and Defence Policies
crsreports.congress.gov/product/pdf/R/R44017/80
Iran – Background and U.S. Policy
crsreports.congress.gov/product/pdf/R/R47321
Shaan Shaikh – CSIS – Iranian missiles in Iraq
csis.org/analysis/iranian-missiles-iraq
CSIS - The Iranian and Houthi War against Saudi Arabia
csis-website-prod.s3.amazonaws.com/s3fs-public/publication/211221_Jones_IranianHouthi_SaudiArabia.pdf?VersionId=fn1d98tAhj7yOUr.IncppMueLOC4kv83
Reuters on Iran backing Iraqi militia
reuters.com/world/middle-east/exclusive-tactical-shift-iran-grows-new-loyal-elite-among-iraqi-militias-2021-05-21
Khamenei praising Basij
reuters.com/world/middle-east/irans-khamenei-praises-basij-forces-confronting-riots-tv-2022-11-26
Reporting on the 2017 Iran political rift
theguardian.com/world/2017/jun/22/rift-between-irans-ayatollah-and-re-elected-president-widens
UK House of Commons Briefing on Iran’s nuclear program
commonslibrary.parliament.uk/research-briefings/cbp-9870
IranM2 data
ceicdata.com/en/indicator/iran/money-supply-m2
Included article on sanctions sunset
edition.cnn.com/2023/10/18/politics/us-sanctions-iran-jcpoa-transition-day/index.html
Included article on Iran drone production
theguardian.com/world/2023/feb/14/us-says-iran-becoming-a-drone-leader-as-russia-uses-its-craft-in-ukraine
Source on included F-4 image
https://www.key.aero/article/how-does-iran-manage-keep-its-ageing-f-4-phantom-iis-flying
Caveats & Comments:
All normal caveats and comments apply.
In particular – I would like to note as always that this material has been created for entertainment purposes only.
Timestamps
00:00:00 — Opening Words
00:01:26 — What Am I Talking About?
00:02:04 — History
00:09:24 — Position And Strategy
00:16:25 — The Force
00:28:47 — The Proxies
00:38:22 — Economy And Defence Production
00:49:40 — Production And Sanctions Busting
00:57:37 — Missiles And Drones
01:10:34 — Conclusion
01:11:30 — Channel Update
Compared to many of the other militaries we’ve looked at, Iran’s force structure and overarching strategy stands out.
From its arsenal of Shah era weapons to its new generation of missiles, in this episode we did a bit deeper into Iran’s military capabilities, limitations, and the industrial capabilities behind them.
Patreon:
patreon.com/PerunAU
Relevant Reading/sourcing
Platform figures per MB2022 as always for sake of consistency with my other works.
IMF data on Iran
imf.org/external/datamapper/PCPIPCH@WEO/IRN?zoom=IRN&highlight=IRNv
IAEA Director General’s Statement on Verification in Iran
iaea.org/newscenter/pressreleases/iaea-director-generals-statement-on-verification-in-iran-0
Reporting on the IRGC vs Artesh budget
defensenews.com/global/mideast-africa/2021/12/16/iran-more-than-doubles-revolutionary-guards-budget-in-fy22-bill
CSIS – The Iranian Missile Threat – Anthony Cordesman
csis.org/analysis/iranian-missile-threat
CSIS – Missile Defence Project Iran
missilethreat.csis.org/country/iran
Iran friendly fire incident
theguardian.com/world/2020/may/11/iranian-navy-ship-hit-by-missile-in-fatal-friendly-fire-incident-in-gulf
IAEA head on Iran
reuters.com/world/world-must-not-fail-iran-it-did-north-korea-iaea-chief-says-2023-10-16
Featured Times article on IRGC in Syria
time.com/90807/iran-syria-revolutionary-guard
IAEA reporting on Iran (Reuters)
reuters.com/world/middle-east/iaea-reports-no-progress-iran-uranium-stock-enriched-60-grows-2023-09-04
Iran missile test
apnews.com/article/iran-khorramshahr-ballistic-missile-nuclear-tensions-017382e19220700c618eeb51d0bd8b94
FP – Iran is filling Armenia’s power vacuum
foreignpolicy.com/2022/12/01/iran-armenia-azerbaijan-conflict-russia-nagorno-karabakh-syunik
Reporting on Saudi-Iran détente
foreignpolicy.com/2023/06/12/saudi-iran-rapprochement-normalization-deal-china-de-escalation-yemen-syria
Fakour images
irangeomil.blogspot.com/2018/07/analysis-fakour-air-to-air-missile.htmlv
French statement on Iran’s nuclear program
onu.delegfrance.org/we-remain-determined-that-iran-must-never-develop-a-nuclear-weapon-and-must
CRS Reports:
Iran and Nuclear Weapons Production
crsreports.congress.gov/product/pdf/IF/IF12106
Iran’s Nuclear Program – compliance with international obligations
sgp.fas.org/crs/nuke/R40094.pdf
Iran’s Nuclear Program and U.N. Sanctions Reimposition
crsreports.congress.gov/product/pdf/IF/IF11583
Michael Eisenstadt – IISS - Iran after Sanctions: Military Procurement and Force-Structure Decisions
iiss.org/globalassets/media-library---content--migration/images/comment/analysis/2017/december/3-eisenstadt2125.pdf
Michael Eisenstadt - Iranian military developments and trends
washingtoninstitute.org/media/6362
Iran’s Foreign and Defence Policies
crsreports.congress.gov/product/pdf/R/R44017/80
Iran – Background and U.S. Policy
crsreports.congress.gov/product/pdf/R/R47321
Shaan Shaikh – CSIS – Iranian missiles in Iraq
csis.org/analysis/iranian-missiles-iraq
CSIS - The Iranian and Houthi War against Saudi Arabia
csis-website-prod.s3.amazonaws.com/s3fs-public/publication/211221_Jones_IranianHouthi_SaudiArabia.pdf?VersionId=fn1d98tAhj7yOUr.IncppMueLOC4kv83
Reuters on Iran backing Iraqi militia
reuters.com/world/middle-east/exclusive-tactical-shift-iran-grows-new-loyal-elite-among-iraqi-militias-2021-05-21
Khamenei praising Basij
reuters.com/world/middle-east/irans-khamenei-praises-basij-forces-confronting-riots-tv-2022-11-26
Reporting on the 2017 Iran political rift
theguardian.com/world/2017/jun/22/rift-between-irans-ayatollah-and-re-elected-president-widens
UK House of Commons Briefing on Iran’s nuclear program
commonslibrary.parliament.uk/research-briefings/cbp-9870
IranM2 data
ceicdata.com/en/indicator/iran/money-supply-m2
Included article on sanctions sunset
edition.cnn.com/2023/10/18/politics/us-sanctions-iran-jcpoa-transition-day/index.html
Included article on Iran drone production
theguardian.com/world/2023/feb/14/us-says-iran-becoming-a-drone-leader-as-russia-uses-its-craft-in-ukraine
Source on included F-4 image
https://www.key.aero/article/how-does-iran-manage-keep-its-ageing-f-4-phantom-iis-flying
Caveats & Comments:
All normal caveats and comments apply.
In particular – I would like to note as always that this material has been created for entertainment purposes only.
Timestamps
00:00:00 — Opening Words
00:01:26 — What Am I Talking About?
00:02:04 — History
00:09:24 — Position And Strategy
00:16:25 — The Force
00:28:47 — The Proxies
00:38:22 — Economy And Defence Production
00:49:40 — Production And Sanctions Busting
00:57:37 — Missiles And Drones
01:10:34 — Conclusion
01:11:30 — Channel Update
