Perun | Indian Defence Strategy - Forces, Potential and Procurement Disasters @PerunAU | Uploaded December 2023 | Updated October 2024, 6 days ago.
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When debates arise on what the worlds strongest militaries are, attention tends to focus on the United States, PRC, and the Russian Federation. Less often mentioned is India...and I think that's a massive oversight.
With a rapidly growing economy, young demography, and a developing military industry, India's military evolution and strategy are likely to become ever more significant regional and global factors in the coming years.
So today, let's talk about it
Patreon:
patreon.com/PerunAU
Caveats & Comments:
All normal caveats and comments apply.
At one point I refer to the Defence Acquisition Procedure 2016 - as per the slide, it was actually the Defence Procurement Procedure at the time. My reading was focused on the 2020 document, not 2016 as mentioned.
In particular – I would like to note as always that this material has been created for entertainment purposes and should not be relied upon to inform financial or other similar decisions.
Relevant Reading (to be expanded)
Platform counts are generally MB2022 figures for sake of consistency with other episodes
TIV figures are per SIPRI
Defence Acquisition Procedure - 2020
ddpmod.gov.in/sites/default/files/DAP%202020%20%2011%20Nov%2021_0.pdf
Defence Procurement Procedure - 2016 highlights
scribd.com/document/312506309/DPP-2016-pdf
Defence Procurement Procedure - 2013
cgda.nic.in/pdf/DPP2013.pdf
Featured Comptroller and Auditor General Report (35 or 2014)
cag.gov.in/webroot/uploads/download_audit_report/2014/Union_Compliance_Defence_Army_Ordnance_Factories_35_2014.pdf
loksabhadocs.nic.in/Refinput/New_Reference_Notes/English/The%20Defence%20Procurement%20Procedure.pdf
Defence Procurement Manual 2016 (DRDO)
drdo.gov.in/sites/default/files/procurement-manuals-document/procurement-manual-2016.pdf
Reporting on India China clashes
wsj.com/articles/spiked-clubs-and-fists-at-14-000-feet-the-deadly-india-china-clash-11592418242
Reporting and Service Records
bharat-rakshak.com/IAF/Database/26707
bharat-rakshak.com/IAF/Database/36000
bharat-rakshak.com/IAF/Database/28708
economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/defence/indian-air-force-group-captain-who-died-in-air-crash-cremated/articleshow/81570740.cms
Reporting on QR bloat
thewire.in/security/indian-military-qr-overreach-modernisation
US Force Demographics -2021
https://www.defenseculture.mil/Portals/90/Documents/Research/Publications/DEMORPT-2021_demographics_report-20230203.pdf
Dewey, McGerty, & Solanki (IISS) - Personnel vs. capital: the Indian defence budget
iiss.org/en/online-analysis/military-balance/2023/04/indian-defence-budget
Reporting on Agnipath
ndtv.com/india-news/agnipath-scheme-aims-to-lower-forces-average-age-profile-by-4-5-years-3065496
timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/govt-move-to-increase-retirement-age-slash-pensions-triggers-uproar-in-military-circles/articleshow/79046152.cms
pib.gov.in/PressReleseDetail.aspx?PRID=1833765
Reporting on Russian arms deliveries to India
reuters.com/world/india/russia-cannot-meet-arms-delivery-commitments-because-war-indian-air-force-says-2023-03-23
Reporting on MiG-21
indiatoday.in/india/story/why-do-mig-21-crash-indian-air-force-fighter-aircraft-rajasthan-incident-pilots-death-1981575-2022-07-29
thewire.in/security/mig-21-squadron-retired-curtain-closing-iaf-most-abiding-fighter
indiatoday.in/india/story/why-are-mig-21s-still-in-service-in-india-despite-several-recent-crashes-2376381-2023-05-08
independent.co.uk/asia/india/indian-air-force-mig-21-fleet-rajasthan-crash-b2342898.html
Reporting on QRs
thewire.in/security/indian-military-qr-overreach-modernisation
INSAS retiring
economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/defence/insas-rifles-to-retire-to-be-replaced-by-imported-weapons/articleshow/57479939.cms?from=mdr
Featured WB article on Indian growth
worldbank.org/en/news/press-release/2023/10/03/india-s-growth-to-remain-resilient-despite-global-challenges
Reporting on Indian defence budget
bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-02-01/india-s-military-modernization-in-doubt-with-tiny-budget-rise
F404 order
flightglobal.com/defence/hal-orders-99-f404-engines-to-support-tejas-production/145127.article
For comparison: F-16 mishap and pilot loss statistics
https://www.safety.af.mil/Portals/71/documents/Aviation/Aircraft%20Statistics/F-16.pdf
Timestamps:
00:00:00 — Indian Defence Strategy
00:01:20 — What Am I Talking About?
00:04:14 — History
00:07:59 — Strategic Situation
00:21:22 — Indian Armed Forces
00:27:29 — The Nuclear Program
00:36:21 — Strengths & Challenges
00:46:37 — Defence Industry & Procurement
00:50:14 — Why Procurement Goes Wrong?
01:10:15 — Conclusion
01:11:03 — Channel Update
Sponsored by Private Internet Access: piavpn.com/Perun
When debates arise on what the worlds strongest militaries are, attention tends to focus on the United States, PRC, and the Russian Federation. Less often mentioned is India...and I think that's a massive oversight.
With a rapidly growing economy, young demography, and a developing military industry, India's military evolution and strategy are likely to become ever more significant regional and global factors in the coming years.
So today, let's talk about it
Patreon:
patreon.com/PerunAU
Caveats & Comments:
All normal caveats and comments apply.
At one point I refer to the Defence Acquisition Procedure 2016 - as per the slide, it was actually the Defence Procurement Procedure at the time. My reading was focused on the 2020 document, not 2016 as mentioned.
In particular – I would like to note as always that this material has been created for entertainment purposes and should not be relied upon to inform financial or other similar decisions.
Relevant Reading (to be expanded)
Platform counts are generally MB2022 figures for sake of consistency with other episodes
TIV figures are per SIPRI
Defence Acquisition Procedure - 2020
ddpmod.gov.in/sites/default/files/DAP%202020%20%2011%20Nov%2021_0.pdf
Defence Procurement Procedure - 2016 highlights
scribd.com/document/312506309/DPP-2016-pdf
Defence Procurement Procedure - 2013
cgda.nic.in/pdf/DPP2013.pdf
Featured Comptroller and Auditor General Report (35 or 2014)
cag.gov.in/webroot/uploads/download_audit_report/2014/Union_Compliance_Defence_Army_Ordnance_Factories_35_2014.pdf
loksabhadocs.nic.in/Refinput/New_Reference_Notes/English/The%20Defence%20Procurement%20Procedure.pdf
Defence Procurement Manual 2016 (DRDO)
drdo.gov.in/sites/default/files/procurement-manuals-document/procurement-manual-2016.pdf
Reporting on India China clashes
wsj.com/articles/spiked-clubs-and-fists-at-14-000-feet-the-deadly-india-china-clash-11592418242
Reporting and Service Records
bharat-rakshak.com/IAF/Database/26707
bharat-rakshak.com/IAF/Database/36000
bharat-rakshak.com/IAF/Database/28708
economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/defence/indian-air-force-group-captain-who-died-in-air-crash-cremated/articleshow/81570740.cms
Reporting on QR bloat
thewire.in/security/indian-military-qr-overreach-modernisation
US Force Demographics -2021
https://www.defenseculture.mil/Portals/90/Documents/Research/Publications/DEMORPT-2021_demographics_report-20230203.pdf
Dewey, McGerty, & Solanki (IISS) - Personnel vs. capital: the Indian defence budget
iiss.org/en/online-analysis/military-balance/2023/04/indian-defence-budget
Reporting on Agnipath
ndtv.com/india-news/agnipath-scheme-aims-to-lower-forces-average-age-profile-by-4-5-years-3065496
timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/govt-move-to-increase-retirement-age-slash-pensions-triggers-uproar-in-military-circles/articleshow/79046152.cms
pib.gov.in/PressReleseDetail.aspx?PRID=1833765
Reporting on Russian arms deliveries to India
reuters.com/world/india/russia-cannot-meet-arms-delivery-commitments-because-war-indian-air-force-says-2023-03-23
Reporting on MiG-21
indiatoday.in/india/story/why-do-mig-21-crash-indian-air-force-fighter-aircraft-rajasthan-incident-pilots-death-1981575-2022-07-29
thewire.in/security/mig-21-squadron-retired-curtain-closing-iaf-most-abiding-fighter
indiatoday.in/india/story/why-are-mig-21s-still-in-service-in-india-despite-several-recent-crashes-2376381-2023-05-08
independent.co.uk/asia/india/indian-air-force-mig-21-fleet-rajasthan-crash-b2342898.html
Reporting on QRs
thewire.in/security/indian-military-qr-overreach-modernisation
INSAS retiring
economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/defence/insas-rifles-to-retire-to-be-replaced-by-imported-weapons/articleshow/57479939.cms?from=mdr
Featured WB article on Indian growth
worldbank.org/en/news/press-release/2023/10/03/india-s-growth-to-remain-resilient-despite-global-challenges
Reporting on Indian defence budget
bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-02-01/india-s-military-modernization-in-doubt-with-tiny-budget-rise
F404 order
flightglobal.com/defence/hal-orders-99-f404-engines-to-support-tejas-production/145127.article
For comparison: F-16 mishap and pilot loss statistics
https://www.safety.af.mil/Portals/71/documents/Aviation/Aircraft%20Statistics/F-16.pdf
Timestamps:
00:00:00 — Indian Defence Strategy
00:01:20 — What Am I Talking About?
00:04:14 — History
00:07:59 — Strategic Situation
00:21:22 — Indian Armed Forces
00:27:29 — The Nuclear Program
00:36:21 — Strengths & Challenges
00:46:37 — Defence Industry & Procurement
00:50:14 — Why Procurement Goes Wrong?
01:10:15 — Conclusion
01:11:03 — Channel Update
