Perun | The Ukraine Air-War in 2024 - Interviewing Professor Justin Bronk @PerunAU | Uploaded February 2024 | Updated October 2024, 6 days ago.
While far more asymmetric than the fighting on the ground, the air-war in Ukraine has demonstrated many of the same features - Adaptation, attrition, and the importance of resupply and sustainment.
Going into 2024, it's worth asking how two years of full-scale fighting have impacted the Russian and Ukrainian air-forces and how the fighting might be expected to evolve in 2024 as Ukraine converts to Western platforms as Russia pushes to derive more benefit from its significant advantage in airframes and munitions like glide-bombs.
And to address those questions, today I’m joined by Professor Justin Bronk (rusi.org/people/bronk), author of a number of notable reports on the air war in Ukraine, including the November 2022 piece linked below.
Obviously, all views expressed by Professor Bronk are his own – and likewise for those views I express over the course of this interview.
Patreon:
patreon.com/PerunAU
Relevant Reading/sourcing (partial as travelling without full access to my research notes):
RUSI Biography – Justin Bronk
rusi.org/people/bronk
RUSI – Bronk, Reynolds & Watling (2022) – The Russian Air War and Ukrainian Requirements for Air Defence
static.rusi.org/SR-Russian-Air-War-Ukraine-web-final.pdf
RUSI - Bronk (2022) - The mysterious case of the missing Russian air force
rusi.org/explore-our-research/publications/commentary/mysterious-case-missing-russian-air-force#:~:text=On%20the%20fifth%20day%20of,its%20fixed%20wing%20combat%20aircraft.
RUSI - Bronk (2020) - Russian and Chinese air combat trends
static.rusi.org/russian_and_chinese_combat_air_trends_whr_final_web_version.pdf
RUSI - Watling and Reynolds (2024) - Russian Military Objectives and Capacity in Ukraine Through 2024
rusi.org/explore-our-research/publications/commentary/russian-military-objectives-and-capacity-ukraine-through-2024
Featured A-10 article
reuters.com/world/europe/ukraine-needs-more-attack-aircraft-war-effort-ground-forces-commander-2024-01-12
The described A-10 meme (not fully accurate it must be said)…
reddit.com/r/NonCredibleDefense/comments/n11iy8/a10_fanboys_be_like_ignore_the_f14d
Featured article on F-16 training
https://www.politico.eu/article/europe-open-f16-training-center-ukraine-pilot/
MiG-31 accident
businessinsider.com/videos-russian-mig-combat-jet-burst-flames-before-crashing-lake-2023-4
Example of how widely reporting on Russian FF claims spread:
newsweek.com/russia-air-defense-threat-putin-air-force-50-1861117
Featured image of PAC-3 manufacturing
talkbusiness.net/2020/05/more-patriot-missiles-to-be-produced-in-camden
Caveats & Comments:
All normal caveats and comments apply.
In particular – I would like to note as always that this material has been created for entertainment purposes and is not intended to be a complete or comprehensive examination of the topic in question and should not be relied upon to inform financial or other similar decisions.
I would also restate that Justin’s and my opinions are individually our own – and that he has not approved any of my comments nor vice versa.
Timestamps:
00:00:00 — Opening Words
00:00:58 — What Are We Talking About?
00:01:43 — Prof. Justin Bronk
00:02:08 — The Evolving Air War
00:05:14 — The GBAD Transition
00:08:18 — KIT Systems
00:12:38 — Patriot Ambush Tactics
00:18:12 — Friendly Fire And The A-50
00:25:15 — A-10
00:29:39 — Sustainability
00:59:48 — Closing Thoughts & The US Role
01:01:28 — An Open Mic On Risks And Issues
01:07:50 — Creativity & Material Limits
01:09:42 — Channel Update
While far more asymmetric than the fighting on the ground, the air-war in Ukraine has demonstrated many of the same features - Adaptation, attrition, and the importance of resupply and sustainment.
Going into 2024, it's worth asking how two years of full-scale fighting have impacted the Russian and Ukrainian air-forces and how the fighting might be expected to evolve in 2024 as Ukraine converts to Western platforms as Russia pushes to derive more benefit from its significant advantage in airframes and munitions like glide-bombs.
And to address those questions, today I’m joined by Professor Justin Bronk (rusi.org/people/bronk), author of a number of notable reports on the air war in Ukraine, including the November 2022 piece linked below.
Obviously, all views expressed by Professor Bronk are his own – and likewise for those views I express over the course of this interview.
Patreon:
patreon.com/PerunAU
Relevant Reading/sourcing (partial as travelling without full access to my research notes):
RUSI Biography – Justin Bronk
rusi.org/people/bronk
RUSI – Bronk, Reynolds & Watling (2022) – The Russian Air War and Ukrainian Requirements for Air Defence
static.rusi.org/SR-Russian-Air-War-Ukraine-web-final.pdf
RUSI - Bronk (2022) - The mysterious case of the missing Russian air force
rusi.org/explore-our-research/publications/commentary/mysterious-case-missing-russian-air-force#:~:text=On%20the%20fifth%20day%20of,its%20fixed%20wing%20combat%20aircraft.
RUSI - Bronk (2020) - Russian and Chinese air combat trends
static.rusi.org/russian_and_chinese_combat_air_trends_whr_final_web_version.pdf
RUSI - Watling and Reynolds (2024) - Russian Military Objectives and Capacity in Ukraine Through 2024
rusi.org/explore-our-research/publications/commentary/russian-military-objectives-and-capacity-ukraine-through-2024
Featured A-10 article
reuters.com/world/europe/ukraine-needs-more-attack-aircraft-war-effort-ground-forces-commander-2024-01-12
The described A-10 meme (not fully accurate it must be said)…
reddit.com/r/NonCredibleDefense/comments/n11iy8/a10_fanboys_be_like_ignore_the_f14d
Featured article on F-16 training
https://www.politico.eu/article/europe-open-f16-training-center-ukraine-pilot/
MiG-31 accident
businessinsider.com/videos-russian-mig-combat-jet-burst-flames-before-crashing-lake-2023-4
Example of how widely reporting on Russian FF claims spread:
newsweek.com/russia-air-defense-threat-putin-air-force-50-1861117
Featured image of PAC-3 manufacturing
talkbusiness.net/2020/05/more-patriot-missiles-to-be-produced-in-camden
Caveats & Comments:
All normal caveats and comments apply.
In particular – I would like to note as always that this material has been created for entertainment purposes and is not intended to be a complete or comprehensive examination of the topic in question and should not be relied upon to inform financial or other similar decisions.
I would also restate that Justin’s and my opinions are individually our own – and that he has not approved any of my comments nor vice versa.
Timestamps:
00:00:00 — Opening Words
00:00:58 — What Are We Talking About?
00:01:43 — Prof. Justin Bronk
00:02:08 — The Evolving Air War
00:05:14 — The GBAD Transition
00:08:18 — KIT Systems
00:12:38 — Patriot Ambush Tactics
00:18:12 — Friendly Fire And The A-50
00:25:15 — A-10
00:29:39 — Sustainability
00:59:48 — Closing Thoughts & The US Role
01:01:28 — An Open Mic On Risks And Issues
01:07:50 — Creativity & Material Limits
01:09:42 — Channel Update
