Uploaded August 2024 | Updated September 2026, 2 weeks ago
Professor Don Moore, an expert on overconfidence, and former student Aditya Kotak give the 101 on polling accuracy. Their research found that even though most polls profess 95% confidence, they're only about 60% accurate—just a week before an election.
Read more: haas.org/3X0PUCF
About Berkeley Haas:
As the second-oldest business school in the United States, the Haas School of Business at the University of California Berkeley is one of the world's leading producers of new ideas and knowledge in all areas of business: http://haas.berkeley.edu
Professor Don Moore, an expert on overconfidence, and former student Aditya Kotak give the 101 on polling accuracy. Their research found that even though most polls profess 95% confidence, they're only about 60% accurate—just a week before an election.
Read more: haas.org/3X0PUCF
About Berkeley Haas:
As the second-oldest business school in the United States, the Haas School of Business at the University of California Berkeley is one of the world's leading producers of new ideas and knowledge in all areas of business: http://haas.berkeley.edu
