Uploaded April 2025 | Updated September 2026, 2 weeks ago
In this Global Macro Update, Nik highlights bitcoin’s breakout above a key descending trendline and a textbook bullish divergence on the RSI—two technical signals suggesting the recent downtrend may be losing steam. But the bigger story is gold, which is exploding higher in what looks like the early stages of a full-scale monetary reset. With the dollar breaking multi-year support and massive gold inflows hitting the U.S., Nik explores the possibility of a global repricing, driven by collapsing commercial shorts and currency pressure abroad. He connects the dots between price action, trade war policy, capital charge relief, and the escalating financial war reshaping global asset markets.
Link to Tom Luongo Caitlin Long episode: tomluongo.me/2025/04/19/podcast-episode-213-caitlin-long-and-the-financial-crisis-that-wasnt
📚 Bitcoin Age is here, order yours today: https://a.co/d/5gau08H
📊 The Bitcoin Layer is a bitcoin and global macroeconomic research firm.
🔓 The Bitcoin Layer is proud to be sponsored by Unchained, the leader in Bitcoin financial services. Unchained empowers you to take full control of your Bitcoin with a collaborative multisig vault, where you hold two of three keys, and benefit from a Bitcoin security partner. Purchase Bitcoin directly into your cold storage vault and eliminate exchange risks with Unchained's Trading Desk. Unchained also offers the best IRA product in the industry, allowing you to easily roll over old 401(k)s or IRAs into Bitcoin while keeping control of your keys. Don’t pay more taxes than you have to. Talk to us today.
Visit thebitcoinlayer.com/unchained and use code TBL for $100 off when you create an account.
🔨 Try Stamp Seed, a DIY kit that enables you to hammer your seed words into a durable plate of titanium using professional stamping tools. Take 15% off with code TBL. Get your Stamp Seed today! stampseed.com/shop/titanium-seed-phrase-storage-kits.html?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email
▶️ Subscribe and turn on notifications for TBL on YouTube.
📚 Subscribe to TBL’s research letter: thebitcoinlayer.com/subscribe
🎧 Subscribe to The Bitcoin Layer on your favorite podcast platform.
📱 Follow TBL on X: twitter.com/TheBitcoinLayer
📩 Join the official TBL channel on Telegram: https://t.me/thebitcoinlayerofficial
🧢 Use code TBLYT10 for 10% off all The Bitcoin Layer Merch at TheBitcoinLayer.com/merch
⛓️ ₿lock Height 893426
⚡ Contribute to The Bitcoin Layer via Lightning Network: thebitcoinlayer@zbd.gg
Nik Bhatia's Twitter: twitter.com/timevalueofbtc
Creative Director Matthew Ball's Twitter: twitter.com/matthewrball
Researcher Demian Schatt's Twitter: https://x.com/demianschatt
❗ The Bitcoin Layer and its guests do not provide investment advice.
Chapters:
00:00:00 Analyzing Bitcoin's Bullish Divergence
00:03:37 Bitcoin's Path to New Highs
00:07:09 Gold Market Analysis and Breakout Predictions
00:10:43 Gold Revaluation and the Global Monetary Reset
00:14:17 The Impact of a Weakening Dollar on Gold Prices
00:19:00 The Impact of Gold Delivery on Commercial Shorts
00:21:32 The Reality Behind a Strong Dollar Policy
00:24:46 Presidential Economic Mandate and Currency Manipulation
00:28:08 Origins and Impact of the Euro Dollar System
00:31:39 Understanding the Concept of Time
In this Global Macro Update, Nik highlights bitcoin’s breakout above a key descending trendline and a textbook bullish divergence on the RSI—two technical signals suggesting the recent downtrend may be losing steam. But the bigger story is gold, which is exploding higher in what looks like the early stages of a full-scale monetary reset. With the dollar breaking multi-year support and massive gold inflows hitting the U.S., Nik explores the possibility of a global repricing, driven by collapsing commercial shorts and currency pressure abroad. He connects the dots between price action, trade war policy, capital charge relief, and the escalating financial war reshaping global asset markets.
Link to Tom Luongo Caitlin Long episode: tomluongo.me/2025/04/19/podcast-episode-213-caitlin-long-and-the-financial-crisis-that-wasnt
📚 Bitcoin Age is here, order yours today: https://a.co/d/5gau08H
📊 The Bitcoin Layer is a bitcoin and global macroeconomic research firm.
🔓 The Bitcoin Layer is proud to be sponsored by Unchained, the leader in Bitcoin financial services. Unchained empowers you to take full control of your Bitcoin with a collaborative multisig vault, where you hold two of three keys, and benefit from a Bitcoin security partner. Purchase Bitcoin directly into your cold storage vault and eliminate exchange risks with Unchained's Trading Desk. Unchained also offers the best IRA product in the industry, allowing you to easily roll over old 401(k)s or IRAs into Bitcoin while keeping control of your keys. Don’t pay more taxes than you have to. Talk to us today.
Visit thebitcoinlayer.com/unchained and use code TBL for $100 off when you create an account.
🔨 Try Stamp Seed, a DIY kit that enables you to hammer your seed words into a durable plate of titanium using professional stamping tools. Take 15% off with code TBL. Get your Stamp Seed today! stampseed.com/shop/titanium-seed-phrase-storage-kits.html?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email
▶️ Subscribe and turn on notifications for TBL on YouTube.
📚 Subscribe to TBL’s research letter: thebitcoinlayer.com/subscribe
🎧 Subscribe to The Bitcoin Layer on your favorite podcast platform.
📱 Follow TBL on X: twitter.com/TheBitcoinLayer
📩 Join the official TBL channel on Telegram: https://t.me/thebitcoinlayerofficial
🧢 Use code TBLYT10 for 10% off all The Bitcoin Layer Merch at TheBitcoinLayer.com/merch
⛓️ ₿lock Height 893426
⚡ Contribute to The Bitcoin Layer via Lightning Network: thebitcoinlayer@zbd.gg
Nik Bhatia's Twitter: twitter.com/timevalueofbtc
Creative Director Matthew Ball's Twitter: twitter.com/matthewrball
Researcher Demian Schatt's Twitter: https://x.com/demianschatt
❗ The Bitcoin Layer and its guests do not provide investment advice.
Chapters:
00:00:00 Analyzing Bitcoin's Bullish Divergence
00:03:37 Bitcoin's Path to New Highs
00:07:09 Gold Market Analysis and Breakout Predictions
00:10:43 Gold Revaluation and the Global Monetary Reset
00:14:17 The Impact of a Weakening Dollar on Gold Prices
00:19:00 The Impact of Gold Delivery on Commercial Shorts
00:21:32 The Reality Behind a Strong Dollar Policy
00:24:46 Presidential Economic Mandate and Currency Manipulation
00:28:08 Origins and Impact of the Euro Dollar System
00:31:39 Understanding the Concept of Time
