Uploaded May 2025 | Updated September 2026, 2 weeks ago
In this episode, Nik Bhatia sits down with TBL Research Associate Demian Schott to break down Bitcoin’s strong price action despite signs of macroeconomic slowdown. They explore how falling bond volatility, shifting interest rate expectations, and the Fed’s potential rate cuts are boosting risk assets through the TBL Liquidity lens. Nik explains how market certainty affects dealer activity, why lower yields matter for Bitcoin and stocks, and what the two-year Treasury yield is signaling about future Fed policy. The conversation also touches on global trade, Eurodollar flows, and the political dynamics influencing inflation and long-term interest rates.
📚 Bitcoin Age is here, order yours today: https://a.co/d/5gau08H
📊 The Bitcoin Layer is a bitcoin and global macroeconomic research firm.
🔓 The Bitcoin Layer is proud to be sponsored by Unchained, the leader in Bitcoin financial services. Unchained empowers you to take full control of your Bitcoin with a collaborative multisig vault, where you hold two of three keys, and benefit from a Bitcoin security partner. Purchase Bitcoin directly into your cold storage vault and eliminate exchange risks with Unchained's Trading Desk. Unchained also offers the best IRA product in the industry, allowing you to easily roll over old 401(k)s or IRAs into Bitcoin while keeping control of your keys. Don’t pay more taxes than you have to. Talk to us today.
Visit thebitcoinlayer.com/unchained and use code TBL for $100 off when you create an account.
🔨 Try Stamp Seed, a DIY kit that enables you to hammer your seed words into a durable plate of titanium using professional stamping tools. Take 15% off with code TBL. Get your Stamp Seed today! stampseed.com/shop/titanium-seed-phrase-storage-kits.html?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email
🕊️ The Human Rights Foundation promotes freedom through Bitcoin by supporting developers, educating activists, and defending civil liberties worldwide.
Join thousands of readers who care about human rights, sound money, and financial sovereignty — subscribe for free at financialfreedomreport.org.
📡 Blockstream delivers cutting-edge Bitcoin infrastructure. Discover the top-rated Blockstream Jade hardware wallet for secure offline storage, and explore the Blockstream Satellite for a seamless offline Bitcoin node experience — all available at the Blockstream Store. Visit: store.blockstream.com/discount/TBL for 10% off entire order.
▶️ Subscribe and turn on notifications for TBL on YouTube.
📚 Subscribe to TBL’s research letter: thebitcoinlayer.com/subscribe
🎧 Subscribe to The Bitcoin Layer on your favorite podcast platform.
📱 Follow TBL on X: twitter.com/TheBitcoinLayer
📩 Join the official TBL channel on Telegram: https://t.me/thebitcoinlayerofficial
🧢 Use code TBLYT10 for 10% off all The Bitcoin Layer Merch at TheBitcoinLayer.com/merch
⛓️ ₿lock Height 894944
⚡ Contribute to The Bitcoin Layer via Lightning Network: thebitcoinlayer@zbd.gg
Nik Bhatia's Twitter: twitter.com/timevalueofbtc
Creative Director Matthew Ball's Twitter: twitter.com/matthewrball
Researcher Demian Schatt's Twitter: https://x.com/demianschatt
❗ The Bitcoin Layer and its guests do not provide investment advice.
Chapters:
00:00:00 Bitcoin Performance Amidst Economic Slowdown
00:05:37 Understanding Interest Rate Risk and Duration
00:11:06 Understanding Bond Volatility and Bitcoin Performance
00:16:38 Impact of Bond Market Movements on Stocks
00:22:10 Impact of Treasury Market on U.S. Economic Policy
00:27:35 Economic Slowdown and Rate Cuts Ahead
00:32:37 Strategies for Stabilizing Long-Term Inflation
00:38:39 Historical Context of Trump's Political Influence
00:44:34 Observing Economic Predictions: Inflation and Stock Market Impacts
In this episode, Nik Bhatia sits down with TBL Research Associate Demian Schott to break down Bitcoin’s strong price action despite signs of macroeconomic slowdown. They explore how falling bond volatility, shifting interest rate expectations, and the Fed’s potential rate cuts are boosting risk assets through the TBL Liquidity lens. Nik explains how market certainty affects dealer activity, why lower yields matter for Bitcoin and stocks, and what the two-year Treasury yield is signaling about future Fed policy. The conversation also touches on global trade, Eurodollar flows, and the political dynamics influencing inflation and long-term interest rates.
📚 Bitcoin Age is here, order yours today: https://a.co/d/5gau08H
📊 The Bitcoin Layer is a bitcoin and global macroeconomic research firm.
🔓 The Bitcoin Layer is proud to be sponsored by Unchained, the leader in Bitcoin financial services. Unchained empowers you to take full control of your Bitcoin with a collaborative multisig vault, where you hold two of three keys, and benefit from a Bitcoin security partner. Purchase Bitcoin directly into your cold storage vault and eliminate exchange risks with Unchained's Trading Desk. Unchained also offers the best IRA product in the industry, allowing you to easily roll over old 401(k)s or IRAs into Bitcoin while keeping control of your keys. Don’t pay more taxes than you have to. Talk to us today.
Visit thebitcoinlayer.com/unchained and use code TBL for $100 off when you create an account.
🔨 Try Stamp Seed, a DIY kit that enables you to hammer your seed words into a durable plate of titanium using professional stamping tools. Take 15% off with code TBL. Get your Stamp Seed today! stampseed.com/shop/titanium-seed-phrase-storage-kits.html?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email
🕊️ The Human Rights Foundation promotes freedom through Bitcoin by supporting developers, educating activists, and defending civil liberties worldwide.
Join thousands of readers who care about human rights, sound money, and financial sovereignty — subscribe for free at financialfreedomreport.org.
📡 Blockstream delivers cutting-edge Bitcoin infrastructure. Discover the top-rated Blockstream Jade hardware wallet for secure offline storage, and explore the Blockstream Satellite for a seamless offline Bitcoin node experience — all available at the Blockstream Store. Visit: store.blockstream.com/discount/TBL for 10% off entire order.
▶️ Subscribe and turn on notifications for TBL on YouTube.
📚 Subscribe to TBL’s research letter: thebitcoinlayer.com/subscribe
🎧 Subscribe to The Bitcoin Layer on your favorite podcast platform.
📱 Follow TBL on X: twitter.com/TheBitcoinLayer
📩 Join the official TBL channel on Telegram: https://t.me/thebitcoinlayerofficial
🧢 Use code TBLYT10 for 10% off all The Bitcoin Layer Merch at TheBitcoinLayer.com/merch
⛓️ ₿lock Height 894944
⚡ Contribute to The Bitcoin Layer via Lightning Network: thebitcoinlayer@zbd.gg
Nik Bhatia's Twitter: twitter.com/timevalueofbtc
Creative Director Matthew Ball's Twitter: twitter.com/matthewrball
Researcher Demian Schatt's Twitter: https://x.com/demianschatt
❗ The Bitcoin Layer and its guests do not provide investment advice.
Chapters:
00:00:00 Bitcoin Performance Amidst Economic Slowdown
00:05:37 Understanding Interest Rate Risk and Duration
00:11:06 Understanding Bond Volatility and Bitcoin Performance
00:16:38 Impact of Bond Market Movements on Stocks
00:22:10 Impact of Treasury Market on U.S. Economic Policy
00:27:35 Economic Slowdown and Rate Cuts Ahead
00:32:37 Strategies for Stabilizing Long-Term Inflation
00:38:39 Historical Context of Trump's Political Influence
00:44:34 Observing Economic Predictions: Inflation and Stock Market Impacts
