Machine Learning Street Talk | AGI in 5 Years? Ben Goertzel on Superintelligence @MachineLearningStreetTalk | Uploaded October 2024 | Updated October 2024, 2 hours ago.
Ben Goertzel discusses AGI development, transhumanism, and the potential societal impacts of superintelligent AI. He predicts human-level AGI by 2029 and argues that the transition to superintelligence could happen within a few years after. Goertzel explores the challenges of AI regulation, the limitations of current language models, and the need for neuro-symbolic approaches in AGI research. He also addresses concerns about resource allocation and cultural perspectives on transhumanism.
TOC:
[00:00:00] AGI Timeline Predictions and Development Speed
[00:00:45] Limitations of Language Models in AGI Development
[00:02:18] Current State and Trends in AI Research and Development
[00:09:02] Emergent Reasoning Capabilities and Limitations of LLMs
[00:18:15] Neuro-Symbolic Approaches and the Future of AI Systems
[00:20:00] Evolutionary Algorithms and LLMs in Creative Tasks
[00:21:25] Symbolic vs. Sub-Symbolic Approaches in AI
[00:28:05] Language as Internal Thought and External Communication
[00:30:20] AGI Development and Goal-Directed Behavior
[00:35:51] Consciousness and AI: Expanding States of Experience
[00:48:50] AI Regulation: Challenges and Approaches
[00:55:35] Challenges in AI Regulation
[00:59:20] AI Alignment and Ethical Considerations
[01:09:15] AGI Development Timeline Predictions
[01:12:40] OpenCog Hyperon and AGI Progress
[01:17:48] Transhumanism and Resource Allocation Debate
[01:20:12] Cultural Perspectives on Transhumanism
[01:23:54] AGI and Post-Scarcity Society
[01:31:35] Challenges and Implications of AGI Development
New! PDF Show notes: dropbox.com/scl/fi/fyetzwgoaf70gpovyfc4x/BenGoertzel.pdf?rlkey=pze5dt9vgf01tf2wip32p5hk5&st=svbcofm3&dl=0
Refs:
00:00:15 Ray Kurzweil's AGI timeline prediction, Ray Kurzweil, en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Technological_singularity
00:01:45 Ben Goertzel: SingularityNET founder, Ben Goertzel, singularitynet.io
00:02:35 AGI Conference series, AGI Conference Organizers, agi-conf.org/2024
00:03:55 Ben Goertzel's contributions to AGI, Wikipedia contributors, en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ben_Goertzel
00:11:05 Chain-of-Thought prompting, Subbarao Kambhampati, arxiv.org/abs/2405.04776
00:11:35 Algorithmic information content, Pieter Adriaans, https://plato.stanford.edu/entries/information-entropy/
00:12:10 Turing completeness in neural networks, Various contributors, https://plato.stanford.edu/entries/turing-machine/
00:16:15 AlphaGeometry: AI for geometry problems, Trieu, Li, et al., nature.com/articles/s41586-023-06747-5
00:18:25 Shane Legg and Ben Goertzel's collaboration, Shane Legg, en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Shane_Legg
00:20:00 Evolutionary algorithms in music generation, Yanxu Chen, arxiv.org/html/2409.03715v1
00:22:00 Peirce's theory of semiotics, Charles Sanders Peirce, https://plato.stanford.edu/entries/peirce-semiotics/
00:28:10 Chomsky's view on language, Noam Chomsky, chomsky.info/1983____
00:34:05 Greg Egan's 'Diaspora', Greg Egan, amazon.co.uk/Diaspora-post-apocalyptic-thriller-perfect-MIRROR/dp/0575082097
00:40:35 'The Consciousness Explosion', Ben Goertzel & Gabriel Axel Montes, amazon.com/Consciousness-Explosion-Technological-Experiential-Singularity/dp/B0D8C7QYZD
00:41:55 Ray Kurzweil's books on singularity, Ray Kurzweil, amazon.com/Singularity-Near-Humans-Transcend-Biology/dp/0143037889
00:50:50 California AI regulation bills, California State Senate, sd18.senate.ca.gov/news/senate-unanimously-approves-senator-padillas-artificial-intelligence-package
00:56:40 Limitations of Compute Thresholds, Sara Hooker, arxiv.org/abs/2407.05694
00:56:55 'Taming Silicon Valley', Gary F. Marcus, penguinrandomhouse.com/books/768076/taming-silicon-valley-by-gary-f-marcus
01:09:15 Kurzweil's AGI prediction update, Ray Kurzweil, theguardian.com/technology/article/2024/jun/29/ray-kurzweil-google-ai-the-singularity-is-nearer
01:14:45 OpenCog Hyperon framework, Ben Goertzel et al., arxiv.org/abs/2310.18318
01:18:25 Malnutrition in Ethiopia, Abriham Shiferaw Areba, frontiersin.org/journals/nutrition/articles/10.3389/fnut.2024.1403591/full
01:18:40 Transhumanism ethical debate, Nick Bostrom, nickbostrom.com/papers/history.pdf
Ben Goertzel discusses AGI development, transhumanism, and the potential societal impacts of superintelligent AI. He predicts human-level AGI by 2029 and argues that the transition to superintelligence could happen within a few years after. Goertzel explores the challenges of AI regulation, the limitations of current language models, and the need for neuro-symbolic approaches in AGI research. He also addresses concerns about resource allocation and cultural perspectives on transhumanism.
TOC:
[00:00:00] AGI Timeline Predictions and Development Speed
[00:00:45] Limitations of Language Models in AGI Development
[00:02:18] Current State and Trends in AI Research and Development
[00:09:02] Emergent Reasoning Capabilities and Limitations of LLMs
[00:18:15] Neuro-Symbolic Approaches and the Future of AI Systems
[00:20:00] Evolutionary Algorithms and LLMs in Creative Tasks
[00:21:25] Symbolic vs. Sub-Symbolic Approaches in AI
[00:28:05] Language as Internal Thought and External Communication
[00:30:20] AGI Development and Goal-Directed Behavior
[00:35:51] Consciousness and AI: Expanding States of Experience
[00:48:50] AI Regulation: Challenges and Approaches
[00:55:35] Challenges in AI Regulation
[00:59:20] AI Alignment and Ethical Considerations
[01:09:15] AGI Development Timeline Predictions
[01:12:40] OpenCog Hyperon and AGI Progress
[01:17:48] Transhumanism and Resource Allocation Debate
[01:20:12] Cultural Perspectives on Transhumanism
[01:23:54] AGI and Post-Scarcity Society
[01:31:35] Challenges and Implications of AGI Development
New! PDF Show notes: dropbox.com/scl/fi/fyetzwgoaf70gpovyfc4x/BenGoertzel.pdf?rlkey=pze5dt9vgf01tf2wip32p5hk5&st=svbcofm3&dl=0
Refs:
00:00:15 Ray Kurzweil's AGI timeline prediction, Ray Kurzweil, en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Technological_singularity
00:01:45 Ben Goertzel: SingularityNET founder, Ben Goertzel, singularitynet.io
00:02:35 AGI Conference series, AGI Conference Organizers, agi-conf.org/2024
00:03:55 Ben Goertzel's contributions to AGI, Wikipedia contributors, en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ben_Goertzel
00:11:05 Chain-of-Thought prompting, Subbarao Kambhampati, arxiv.org/abs/2405.04776
00:11:35 Algorithmic information content, Pieter Adriaans, https://plato.stanford.edu/entries/information-entropy/
00:12:10 Turing completeness in neural networks, Various contributors, https://plato.stanford.edu/entries/turing-machine/
00:16:15 AlphaGeometry: AI for geometry problems, Trieu, Li, et al., nature.com/articles/s41586-023-06747-5
00:18:25 Shane Legg and Ben Goertzel's collaboration, Shane Legg, en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Shane_Legg
00:20:00 Evolutionary algorithms in music generation, Yanxu Chen, arxiv.org/html/2409.03715v1
00:22:00 Peirce's theory of semiotics, Charles Sanders Peirce, https://plato.stanford.edu/entries/peirce-semiotics/
00:28:10 Chomsky's view on language, Noam Chomsky, chomsky.info/1983____
00:34:05 Greg Egan's 'Diaspora', Greg Egan, amazon.co.uk/Diaspora-post-apocalyptic-thriller-perfect-MIRROR/dp/0575082097
00:40:35 'The Consciousness Explosion', Ben Goertzel & Gabriel Axel Montes, amazon.com/Consciousness-Explosion-Technological-Experiential-Singularity/dp/B0D8C7QYZD
00:41:55 Ray Kurzweil's books on singularity, Ray Kurzweil, amazon.com/Singularity-Near-Humans-Transcend-Biology/dp/0143037889
00:50:50 California AI regulation bills, California State Senate, sd18.senate.ca.gov/news/senate-unanimously-approves-senator-padillas-artificial-intelligence-package
00:56:40 Limitations of Compute Thresholds, Sara Hooker, arxiv.org/abs/2407.05694
00:56:55 'Taming Silicon Valley', Gary F. Marcus, penguinrandomhouse.com/books/768076/taming-silicon-valley-by-gary-f-marcus
01:09:15 Kurzweil's AGI prediction update, Ray Kurzweil, theguardian.com/technology/article/2024/jun/29/ray-kurzweil-google-ai-the-singularity-is-nearer
01:14:45 OpenCog Hyperon framework, Ben Goertzel et al., arxiv.org/abs/2310.18318
01:18:25 Malnutrition in Ethiopia, Abriham Shiferaw Areba, frontiersin.org/journals/nutrition/articles/10.3389/fnut.2024.1403591/full
01:18:40 Transhumanism ethical debate, Nick Bostrom, nickbostrom.com/papers/history.pdf
