Uploaded October 2021 | Updated September 2026, 1 week ago
Futurists often suggest that technology grows exponentially more powerful over time, but there may be good reasons to doubt this notion, & *very* good reasons not to wait around for the future tech they promise is imminent.
Climate Change Links
Sunrise Movement - sunrisemovement.org
The Green New Deal Network - greennewdealnetwork.org
Sierra Club - sierraclub.org/take-action
350.org - 350.org
-Links for the Curious-
Philosophical Analysis of Dark Souls, by Gemsbok - youtube.com/watch?v=xpf3KQBIoCY
118. The Antikythera Mechanism | THUNK - youtube.com/watch?v=zM3BDiKQdc4&feature=youtu.be
Why Futurism Has a Cultural Blindspot - Issue 65: In Plain Sight - Nautilus - nautil.us/issue/65/in-plain-sight/why-futurism-has-a-cultural-blindspot-rp
View of The 21st Century Singularity and its Big History Implications: A re-analysis - https://jbh.journals.villanova.edu/article/view/2329/2236
Whole Brain Emulation: No Progress on C. elgans After 10 Years - lesswrong.com/posts/mHqQxwKuzZS69CXX5/whole-brain-emulation-no-progress-on-c-elgans-after-10-years
THE CALIFORNIAN IDEOLOGY by Richard Barbrook and Andy Cameron - imaginaryfutures.net/2007/04/17/the-californian-ideology-2
Tomorrow’s World - Office of the Future (BBC, 1969) - youtube.com/watch?v=HnMjoitdRRM&feature=youtu.be
What the 21st Century office of the future looked like in the 1960s - workplaceinsight.net/what-the-21st-century-office-looked-like-in-1967
Futurism Needs More Women (Eveleth, 2015) - theatlantic.com/technology/archive/2015/07/futurism-sexism-men/400097
Kids in the 1960's predict what the year 2000 will be like - youtube.com/watch?v=d-OKfcljAok
1980's prediction of 2020 - youtube.com/watch?v=TmdZU_WFm8g
Breakthrough in fusion energy: Is abundant low carbon energy within reach? - orfonline.org/expert-speak/breakthrough-in-fusion-energy-is-abundant-low-carbon-energy-within-reach
artima - The Simplest Thing that Could Possibly Work - artima.com/articles/the-simplest-thing-that-could-possibly-work#part3
Can Technology Reverse Climate Change? (IEEE, 2018) - spectrum.ieee.org/can-technology-reverse-climate-change
Overconfidence in new technologies can influence decision-making - sciencedaily.com/releases/2015/04/150408100742.htm
Does Technology Drive History? (Smith, 1994) - https://nissenbaum.tech.cornell.edu/papers/Smith%20-%20Technological%20Determinism.pdf
The Social in the Machine: How Historians of Technology Look Beyond the Object | Perspectives on History | AHA - historians.org/publications-and-directories/perspectives-on-history/march-2014/the-social-in-the-machine
Does Technological Change Shape Historical Change? | by Chris Neels | Predict - medium.com/predict/does-technological-change-shape-historical-change-eff16bc1e6d6
Do Machines Make History? (Heilbroner, 1967) - jstor.org/stable/3101719
Countdown to the Singularity - diamandis.com/blog/countdown-to-the-singularity
Where Americans Stand on Energy & Climate - apnorc.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/02/EPIC_infographic.pdf
wired.com/story/italy-futurist-movement-techno-utopians
ntrs.nasa.gov/citations/19900009424
"The lock washer serves as a spring while the bolt is being tightened. However, the washer is normally flat by the time the bolt is fully torqued. At this time it is equivalent to a solid flat washer, and its locking ability is nonexistent. In summary, a Iock washer of this type is useless for locking."
Futurists often suggest that technology grows exponentially more powerful over time, but there may be good reasons to doubt this notion, & *very* good reasons not to wait around for the future tech they promise is imminent.
Climate Change Links
Sunrise Movement - sunrisemovement.org
The Green New Deal Network - greennewdealnetwork.org
Sierra Club - sierraclub.org/take-action
350.org - 350.org
-Links for the Curious-
Philosophical Analysis of Dark Souls, by Gemsbok - youtube.com/watch?v=xpf3KQBIoCY
118. The Antikythera Mechanism | THUNK - youtube.com/watch?v=zM3BDiKQdc4&feature=youtu.be
Why Futurism Has a Cultural Blindspot - Issue 65: In Plain Sight - Nautilus - nautil.us/issue/65/in-plain-sight/why-futurism-has-a-cultural-blindspot-rp
View of The 21st Century Singularity and its Big History Implications: A re-analysis - https://jbh.journals.villanova.edu/article/view/2329/2236
Whole Brain Emulation: No Progress on C. elgans After 10 Years - lesswrong.com/posts/mHqQxwKuzZS69CXX5/whole-brain-emulation-no-progress-on-c-elgans-after-10-years
THE CALIFORNIAN IDEOLOGY by Richard Barbrook and Andy Cameron - imaginaryfutures.net/2007/04/17/the-californian-ideology-2
Tomorrow’s World - Office of the Future (BBC, 1969) - youtube.com/watch?v=HnMjoitdRRM&feature=youtu.be
What the 21st Century office of the future looked like in the 1960s - workplaceinsight.net/what-the-21st-century-office-looked-like-in-1967
Futurism Needs More Women (Eveleth, 2015) - theatlantic.com/technology/archive/2015/07/futurism-sexism-men/400097
Kids in the 1960's predict what the year 2000 will be like - youtube.com/watch?v=d-OKfcljAok
1980's prediction of 2020 - youtube.com/watch?v=TmdZU_WFm8g
Breakthrough in fusion energy: Is abundant low carbon energy within reach? - orfonline.org/expert-speak/breakthrough-in-fusion-energy-is-abundant-low-carbon-energy-within-reach
artima - The Simplest Thing that Could Possibly Work - artima.com/articles/the-simplest-thing-that-could-possibly-work#part3
Can Technology Reverse Climate Change? (IEEE, 2018) - spectrum.ieee.org/can-technology-reverse-climate-change
Overconfidence in new technologies can influence decision-making - sciencedaily.com/releases/2015/04/150408100742.htm
Does Technology Drive History? (Smith, 1994) - https://nissenbaum.tech.cornell.edu/papers/Smith%20-%20Technological%20Determinism.pdf
The Social in the Machine: How Historians of Technology Look Beyond the Object | Perspectives on History | AHA - historians.org/publications-and-directories/perspectives-on-history/march-2014/the-social-in-the-machine
Does Technological Change Shape Historical Change? | by Chris Neels | Predict - medium.com/predict/does-technological-change-shape-historical-change-eff16bc1e6d6
Do Machines Make History? (Heilbroner, 1967) - jstor.org/stable/3101719
Countdown to the Singularity - diamandis.com/blog/countdown-to-the-singularity
Where Americans Stand on Energy & Climate - apnorc.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/02/EPIC_infographic.pdf
wired.com/story/italy-futurist-movement-techno-utopians
ntrs.nasa.gov/citations/19900009424
"The lock washer serves as a spring while the bolt is being tightened. However, the washer is normally flat by the time the bolt is fully torqued. At this time it is equivalent to a solid flat washer, and its locking ability is nonexistent. In summary, a Iock washer of this type is useless for locking."
![208. How Complex Systems Fail
Engineering disasters often highlight how bad decisions can wreak havoc, but Dr. Richard Cooks model of complex systems & how they fail paints a different picture.
- Links for the Curious -
How Complex Systems Fail (Cook, 2000) - https://how.complexsystems.fail/
Behind Human Error: Cognitive Systems, Computers and Hindsight (Cook, 1994) - https://apps.dtic.mil/dtic/tr/fulltext/u2/a492127.pdf
Normal Accidents (Perrow, 1984) - http://geo.unibuc.ro/dm/Documents/[Charles_Perrow]_Normal_Accidents.pdf
Velocity 2012: Richard Cook, How Complex Systems Fail - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2S0k12uZR14
Velocity NY 2013: Richard Cook, Resilience In Complex Adaptive Systems - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PGLYEDpNu60
Flying Astronauts to Space Is Never Routine (Koren, 2020) - https://www.theatlantic.com/science/archive/2020/11/spacex-nasa-astronauts-crew-launch/617112/
Well Theres Your Problem 8: Three Mile Island - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Sm5p2K9eW9o
Well Theres Your Problem 4: The Hyatt Regency Walkway Collapse - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Hw2t0MOGnVc
Well Theres Your Problem 12A: The Boeing 737 Max - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yvM6vaZKKm4
Well Theres Your Problem 14: The Quebec Bridge - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SjOduiPSF1Q
THUNK 161: 13 Reasons Why & Compatibilism - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ngQ7Dh9-NFM
THUNK 199: FMEA - Dodging Disaster - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v z2s9Ornp6U
Climbing Accident Reports: How (and Why) to Read Them (Kirby, courtesy of Angus Smith!) - http://www.alpineinstitute.com/articles/expert-tips/climbing-accident-reports-how-(and-why)-to-read-them/
Funny how many problems boil down to People need to be less shitty to one another.
-Ulfoolius
Rest in peace, man. You will be missed. 208. How Complex Systems Fail](https://i.ytimg.com/vi/dPFw2ckWZyY/mqdefault.jpg)









