When Overconfidence Backfires: The $100B Vision Fund Implosion @LogicallyAnswered
When Overconfidence Backfires: The $100B Vision Fund Implosion  @LogicallyAnswered
Uploaded August 2025 | Updated September 2026, 2 weeks ago
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SoftBank was once the king of tech investing. Backed by Masayoshi Son’s wild instincts, they turned a $20M Alibaba bet into over $100B, got in early on Uber, NVIDIA, and even OpenAI, and built the $100B Vision Fund to back “the most ambitious entrepreneurs.” At their peak, Son was the richest man in Japan and hailed as a visionary. But his high-risk style would backfire spectacularly. He sold NVIDIA right before the AI boom, poured billions into WeWork after a 12-minute tour, and backed startups that burned through cash with little to show. The pandemic crushed already struggling investments, the Vision Fund lost tens of billions, and Son’s sequel fund couldn’t even raise outside money. Coupang’s IPO brought a glimmer of hope, but it wasn’t enough to offset massive losses. Once celebrated for having “the smell” for winners, Son is now seen as reckless — and SoftBank’s fall from grace is one of the most dramatic in tech history.

LinkedIn: linkedin.com/in/hariharan-jayakumar-silo
Instagram: instagram.com/hariharan.jayakumar

Timestamps:
0:00 - $100 Billion Implosion
0:23 - High Hopes
3:54 - The First Miscalculation
10:22 - From Bad To Worse

Resources: pastebin.com/W0tqCNHi

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When Overconfidence Backfires: The $100B Vision Fund Implosion

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