What is the risk of a US-China conflict? @NCUSCR
What is the risk of a US-China conflict?  @NCUSCR
Uploaded August 2025 | Updated September 2026, 6 hours ago
Can deterrence lead to lasting peace? Both the United States and China use the strategy of preventing a rival from acting by instilling fear of potential consequences. The United States aims to discourage a Chinese military invasion of Taiwan, believing that this is crucial to preserving peace in the region. China aims to curb U.S. alliances or troop expansion in Asia, maintaining that U.S. involvement undermines China’s economic and political interests. Both countries want to further their own interests while avoiding war.

Our new series, Faultlines, examines the strategic differences between the United States and China. The two nations differ in how they see economic, military, cultural, and governance issues, but was this always the case? By examining the view from both sides of the faultline can piece together how we got here and where we’re going next.

Oriana Skylar Mastro and Joel Wuthnow joined us in April and May 2025 (respectively) to discuss the U.S. and Chinese views on how to avoid a catastrophic conflict between the U.S. and China.
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The National Committee on United States-China Relations is the leading American, nonprofit, nonpartisan organization devoted to promoting constructive engagement between the United States and China. Learn more: ncuscr.org/about.

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What is the risk of a US-China conflict?

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