Uploaded May 2020 | Updated September 2026, 13 minutes ago
Nowadays, it seems you cannot turn on your TV without hearing a pundit talk about the now-famous V-shaped recovery scenario, an optimistic outlook which (as the name suggests) revolves around an economic activity recovery in the shape of the letter V.
As explained in this video, however, V-shaped economic recoveries are quite unlikely and certainly multiple orders of magnitude more unlikely than V-shaped asset price recoveries.
As such, it makes sense to also compare V-shaped recoveries to various alternatives, from U-shaped recoveries and W/L-shaped ones to even let's call them creative names such as "Nike" recoveries.
After watching this one minute video explanation, you will most likely come to the conclusion that as far as economic activity rather than asset prices are concerned, something like a U-shaped recovery or a W-shaped recovery seems more likely in a pessimistic framework.
This much is certain: we are living in unprecedented times from many perspectives and therefore, having realistic expectations is a must. By giving you the tools you need to do just that, this video comparison is here to help :)
Nowadays, it seems you cannot turn on your TV without hearing a pundit talk about the now-famous V-shaped recovery scenario, an optimistic outlook which (as the name suggests) revolves around an economic activity recovery in the shape of the letter V.
As explained in this video, however, V-shaped economic recoveries are quite unlikely and certainly multiple orders of magnitude more unlikely than V-shaped asset price recoveries.
As such, it makes sense to also compare V-shaped recoveries to various alternatives, from U-shaped recoveries and W/L-shaped ones to even let's call them creative names such as "Nike" recoveries.
After watching this one minute video explanation, you will most likely come to the conclusion that as far as economic activity rather than asset prices are concerned, something like a U-shaped recovery or a W-shaped recovery seems more likely in a pessimistic framework.
This much is certain: we are living in unprecedented times from many perspectives and therefore, having realistic expectations is a must. By giving you the tools you need to do just that, this video comparison is here to help :)
