Paul Roth | #VEDA 2020 29 - When Is COVID19 Over? by @paulidin [OC] #WithMe #QVEDA @paulidin | Uploaded April 2020 | Updated October 2024, 3 minutes ago.
"It's the next to last day of April. Let's talk about the future."

[music: Minor Swing]

"Hello PaulTalkers and other viewers!

You've probably heard about protests from white people who want to "reopen" things. And maybe you've heard politicians talking about trying to do that, too.

When is it going to be safe?

It will start to be safe when there's a widely available vaccine and not one day before that.

We won't be able to have safely crowded spaces until some time after that once everyone has gotten vaccinated and the incidents have stopped happening.

For comparison: The Ebola virus was discovered in 1976, thirty years after the flu vaccine. The vaccine for Ebola was worked on for decades. In 2014, the best candidate began to be worked on and in 2019, the vaccine was approved in the US and Europe. That's 43 years.

The 2002-2003 SARS coronavirus went 20 months before a vaccine was ready for testing.

On the one hand, COVID-19 is much more aggressive in its spread than either of those, but on the other hand, the entire world is working on a vaccine, rather than just some research laboratories.

It's still a safe bet that 1 year from now is the shortest we should be thinking we'll be able to start reopening things. And the smartest best is 2-3 years.

I don't want to make you sad. I want to make you stay as safe as possible for as long as possible. Please don't stop sheltering-at-home until you can take a vaccine or until you fully recover if you contract the virus.

And let's hope tomorrow is better.

Find me @paulidin most places except youtube where it's youtube.com/PaulRoth
Recorded using a Google Pixel 3's front-facing camera.
Scripted using Google Docs
Open Captioned with AutoCap.
Edited with Quicktime
Theme song: Minor Swing / I Will Survive by The Bitter Dose Combo with permission from Matt Henry
Title Card photo taken by Paul Roth, 2019