Uploaded October 2020 | Updated September 2026, 3 days ago
Recent violent and widespread tornado outbreaks in the US, such as occurred in the spring of 2011, have caused devastating societal impact with significant loss of life and property. At present, our capacity to predict US tornado and other severe weather risk does not extend beyond seven days. In an effort to advance our capability for developing a skillful long-range outlook for US tornado outbreaks, here we investigate the spring probability patterns of US regional tornado outbreaks during 1950–2014. An implication of the findings is that the springtime ENSO phases and the North Atlantic SST tripole variability may provide seasonal predictability of US regional tornado outbreaks.
Sang-Ki Lee et al. "U.S. regional tornado outbreaks and their links to spring ENSO phases and North Atlantic SST variability." Environmental Research Letters (2016). doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/11/4/044008
Video produced by researchsquare.com/videos
Recent violent and widespread tornado outbreaks in the US, such as occurred in the spring of 2011, have caused devastating societal impact with significant loss of life and property. At present, our capacity to predict US tornado and other severe weather risk does not extend beyond seven days. In an effort to advance our capability for developing a skillful long-range outlook for US tornado outbreaks, here we investigate the spring probability patterns of US regional tornado outbreaks during 1950–2014. An implication of the findings is that the springtime ENSO phases and the North Atlantic SST tripole variability may provide seasonal predictability of US regional tornado outbreaks.
Sang-Ki Lee et al. "U.S. regional tornado outbreaks and their links to spring ENSO phases and North Atlantic SST variability." Environmental Research Letters (2016). doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/11/4/044008
Video produced by researchsquare.com/videos
