The Good Stuff | This is When Humans Will Go Extinct (Probably) @TheGoodStuff | Uploaded July 2019 | Updated October 2024, 4 days ago.
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References:
washingtonpost.com/news/wonk/wp/2017/10/06/we-have-a-pretty-good-idea-of-when-humans-will-go-extinct/?utm_term=.8485fb635c96
newyorker.com/magazine/1999/07/12/how-to-predict-everything
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Copernican_principle
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Doomsday_argument
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bayes%27_theorem
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/German_tank_problem
https://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/download;jsessionid=2F02C030A8FD6D178CFCDF7CF8F32DA1?doi=10.1.1.49.5899&rep=rep1&type=pdf
anthropic-principle.com/?q=anthropic_principle/doomsday_argument
anthropic-principle.com/preprints/inv/investigations.html