Uploaded November 2023 | Updated September 2026, 52 seconds ago
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In today's video, we're diving deep into Vanguard's Market Outlook for 2023, exploring their annualized returns and projections for the next 10 years. Many are talking about the potential for a "lost decade" in investing, so let's see what Vanguard has to say about it.
First and foremost, we'll break down Vanguard's Capital Markets Model (VCMM), a powerful financial simulation engine that drives their investment outlook. It incorporates three key factors: the Global Dynamic Model, Attribution Models, and a Simulation Engine to model the probability of distribution of outcomes. These elements come together to shape their projections.
Next, we discuss the fixed-income category, focusing on bonds. While bonds show slightly higher average yields, we touch on why some investors may not favor them.
We'll then take a look at Vanguard's proprietary economic tracking model and how it has been relatively accurate in predicting GDP growth. We highlight key points such as the core PCE (Personal Consumption Expenditures), wage growth, and employment trends, all of which have significant implications for the economy and financial markets.
Vanguard's view on interest rates is crucial, and we discuss their expectations for policy rates and rate cuts. Interest rates play a pivotal role in shaping investment strategies and returns.
Lastly, we address the possibility of a recession. Vanguard's baseline expectation is a recession within the next 18 months, but they peg the probability at about 70%, which is more optimistic than their previous view of over 90%.
Thank you for watching, and have a prosperous day!
🍿 WATCH NEXT:
youtu.be/bJHr6_skXWc
youtu.be/HQzoZfc3GwQ?si=wSkPPqDs5kJ4bB3D
MY FAVORITE TOOLS & RESOURCES
📈 M1 Finance - Automate Your Investing - whiteboardfinance.com/go/m1-finance
📊 WeBull - Get Up To 12 FREE STOCKS - whiteboardfinance.com/go/webull
🏠 Get My Home Affordability Spreadsheet - whiteboardfinance.com/go/ytmember
🔒 Ledger - Store Your Bitcoin The Right Way - whiteboardfinance.com/go/ledger
💰 My FREE Stock Market For Beginners Course - whiteboardfinance.com/go/stocksguide
MY OTHER SOCIALS:
🌍 My website - whiteboardfinance.com
🐦 X - twitter.com/whiteboardfin
📸 Instagram - instagram.com/whiteboardfinance
WHO AM I? 👇
If we haven't met before - Hey 👋 I'm Marko, and I've been investing since 2006, and I got my finance degree in 2010. My mission is to provide my viewers with actionable content that enables them to create financial wealth. My videos reflect my real-world experience as a real estate investor, stock market investor, student of finance, and entrepreneur.
DISCLAIMER: I am not a financial adviser. These videos are for educational purposes only. Investing of any kind involves risk. While it is possible to minimize risk, your investments are solely your responsibility. It is imperative that you conduct your own research. I am merely sharing my opinion with no guarantee of gains or losses on investments.
AFFILIATE DISCLOSURE: Some of the links on this channel are affiliate links, meaning, at NO additional cost to you, I may earn a commission if you click through and make a purchase and/or subscribe. However, this does not impact my opinion.
Join My Private Community - WhiteBoard Finance University: wbfuniversity.com
WBFU Includes:
🎥 4 Full-Length Courses (Stocks, Real Estate, Budgeting, Increasing Income)
🧠 Over 50+ exclusive videos, and new ones every week
📊 Full transparency into my portfolio (every buy and sell I make)
💬 Access to our private community and live chat with 100+ members
❓ Weekly Q&A Discussion and Livestream with Marko
🛠️ Exclusive Tools & Spreadsheets
👨🔬 Monthly Guest Expert Livestreams
In today's video, we're diving deep into Vanguard's Market Outlook for 2023, exploring their annualized returns and projections for the next 10 years. Many are talking about the potential for a "lost decade" in investing, so let's see what Vanguard has to say about it.
First and foremost, we'll break down Vanguard's Capital Markets Model (VCMM), a powerful financial simulation engine that drives their investment outlook. It incorporates three key factors: the Global Dynamic Model, Attribution Models, and a Simulation Engine to model the probability of distribution of outcomes. These elements come together to shape their projections.
Next, we discuss the fixed-income category, focusing on bonds. While bonds show slightly higher average yields, we touch on why some investors may not favor them.
We'll then take a look at Vanguard's proprietary economic tracking model and how it has been relatively accurate in predicting GDP growth. We highlight key points such as the core PCE (Personal Consumption Expenditures), wage growth, and employment trends, all of which have significant implications for the economy and financial markets.
Vanguard's view on interest rates is crucial, and we discuss their expectations for policy rates and rate cuts. Interest rates play a pivotal role in shaping investment strategies and returns.
Lastly, we address the possibility of a recession. Vanguard's baseline expectation is a recession within the next 18 months, but they peg the probability at about 70%, which is more optimistic than their previous view of over 90%.
Thank you for watching, and have a prosperous day!
🍿 WATCH NEXT:
youtu.be/bJHr6_skXWc
youtu.be/HQzoZfc3GwQ?si=wSkPPqDs5kJ4bB3D
MY FAVORITE TOOLS & RESOURCES
📈 M1 Finance - Automate Your Investing - whiteboardfinance.com/go/m1-finance
📊 WeBull - Get Up To 12 FREE STOCKS - whiteboardfinance.com/go/webull
🏠 Get My Home Affordability Spreadsheet - whiteboardfinance.com/go/ytmember
🔒 Ledger - Store Your Bitcoin The Right Way - whiteboardfinance.com/go/ledger
💰 My FREE Stock Market For Beginners Course - whiteboardfinance.com/go/stocksguide
MY OTHER SOCIALS:
🌍 My website - whiteboardfinance.com
🐦 X - twitter.com/whiteboardfin
📸 Instagram - instagram.com/whiteboardfinance
WHO AM I? 👇
If we haven't met before - Hey 👋 I'm Marko, and I've been investing since 2006, and I got my finance degree in 2010. My mission is to provide my viewers with actionable content that enables them to create financial wealth. My videos reflect my real-world experience as a real estate investor, stock market investor, student of finance, and entrepreneur.
DISCLAIMER: I am not a financial adviser. These videos are for educational purposes only. Investing of any kind involves risk. While it is possible to minimize risk, your investments are solely your responsibility. It is imperative that you conduct your own research. I am merely sharing my opinion with no guarantee of gains or losses on investments.
AFFILIATE DISCLOSURE: Some of the links on this channel are affiliate links, meaning, at NO additional cost to you, I may earn a commission if you click through and make a purchase and/or subscribe. However, this does not impact my opinion.
