Uploaded April 2026 | Updated September 2026, 6 days ago

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Russia’s Africa strategy unravels as insurgents surge, alliances shift, and failures mount. What went wrong in Mali—and who stands to gain as global powers compete for influence across the Sahel?

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Sources
smallwarsjournal.com/2026/01/01/the-waiting-game-signposts-of-russias-coming-failure-in-africa
http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/71842
https://archive.is/IeUma
https://www.theeastafrican.co.ke/tea/news/west-africa/as-sahel-countries-turn-to-us-will-the-russians-now-exit-5435968
https://www.thestar.com.my/news/world/2026/04/29/analysis-mali-turmoil-threatens-russian-push-for-influence-and-mineral-wealth-in-africa?
africa.businessinsider.com/local/markets/mali-strengthens-russia-ties-after-insurgent-attacks-junta-leader-promises-security/q9k0l2x
theguardian.com/world/2026/apr/27/mali-militant-attacks-putin-russia-africa
rferl.org/a/russia-africa-corps-mali-withdrawal-wagner-mercenaries/33744461.html
reuters.com/world/africa/russias-africa-corps-confirms-withdrawal-malis-kidal-2026-04-27
https://www.rfi.fr/en/africa/20260428-malian-official-accuses-russian-forces-of-betrayal-after-kidal-falls-to-rebels
aljazeera.com/news/2026/4/28/malis-military-leader-goita-emerges-as-russia-declares-it-halted-coup
aljazeera.com/news/2026/4/29/what-role-has-russia-played-in-malis-security-and-the-sahel-region
https://x.com/casusbellii/status/2048453905575559278
https://x.com/casusbellii/status/2048453905575559278
bbc.com/news/articles/ckglwnrx437o