The Rational Reminder Podcast | RR # 180 - Is Canada Really in a Housing Bubble? @rationalreminder | Uploaded December 2021 | Updated October 2024, 9 hours ago.
There is no doubt that housing in Canada is expensive, but are we really in a bubble? Today on the show we explore the user cost equation and how it can help us answer this question. Before the main topic, we get warmed up with a behind-the-scenes look at Dell’s growth path in Cameron’s review of Play Nice But Win. From there we address Peter Lynch’s recent warning against passive investing as well as reiterate our position on the performance of small-cap value versus large-cap growth. Heading into our discussion on housing in Canada, we provide a working definition of a housing bubble and present the model used to work out user cost, addressing each factor in some detail. We discuss the risk premium for owning versus renting and highlight an interesting point on high price sensitivity during low-interest rates. The major takeaway after looking at Canada from within this framework is that user costs are in line with what they should be historically, and that saying we are in a housing bubble would be a little drastic!
Book From Today’s Episode:
Play Nice But Win — amzn.to/3IW2BWC
Links From Today’s Episode:
Rational Reminder on iTunes — itunes.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-rational-reminder-podcast/id1426530582.
Rational Reminder Website — rationalreminder.ca
Shop Merch — shop.rationalreminder.ca
Join the Community — community.rationalreminder.ca
Follow us on Twitter — twitter.com/RationalRemind
Follow us on Instagram — @rationalreminder
Benjamin on Twitter — twitter.com/benjaminwfelix
Cameron on Twitter — twitter.com/CameronPassmore
'Want to Be Happy? Hire a Financial Advisor' — static1.squarespace.com/static/5a720f21be42d6c5b35cd2d5/t/61ae8269d3ac6c729c4c4552/1638826601510/Trending_Edition+1_HerbersCo_Final.pdf
'Assessing High House Prices: Bubbles, Fundamentals, and Misperceptions' — aeaweb.org/articles?id=10.1257/089533005775196769
'Owner-Occupied Housing and the Composition of the Household Portfolio' — aeaweb.org/articles?id=10.1257/000282802760015775
'Real Estate Investors, the Leverage Cycle, and the Housing Market Crisis' — newyorkfed.org/research/staff_reports/sr514.html
'Owner-Occupied Housing as a Hedge Against Rent Risk' — academic.oup.com/qje/article-abstract/120/2/763/1933972
There is no doubt that housing in Canada is expensive, but are we really in a bubble? Today on the show we explore the user cost equation and how it can help us answer this question. Before the main topic, we get warmed up with a behind-the-scenes look at Dell’s growth path in Cameron’s review of Play Nice But Win. From there we address Peter Lynch’s recent warning against passive investing as well as reiterate our position on the performance of small-cap value versus large-cap growth. Heading into our discussion on housing in Canada, we provide a working definition of a housing bubble and present the model used to work out user cost, addressing each factor in some detail. We discuss the risk premium for owning versus renting and highlight an interesting point on high price sensitivity during low-interest rates. The major takeaway after looking at Canada from within this framework is that user costs are in line with what they should be historically, and that saying we are in a housing bubble would be a little drastic!
Book From Today’s Episode:
Play Nice But Win — amzn.to/3IW2BWC
Links From Today’s Episode:
Rational Reminder on iTunes — itunes.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-rational-reminder-podcast/id1426530582.
Rational Reminder Website — rationalreminder.ca
Shop Merch — shop.rationalreminder.ca
Join the Community — community.rationalreminder.ca
Follow us on Twitter — twitter.com/RationalRemind
Follow us on Instagram — @rationalreminder
Benjamin on Twitter — twitter.com/benjaminwfelix
Cameron on Twitter — twitter.com/CameronPassmore
'Want to Be Happy? Hire a Financial Advisor' — static1.squarespace.com/static/5a720f21be42d6c5b35cd2d5/t/61ae8269d3ac6c729c4c4552/1638826601510/Trending_Edition+1_HerbersCo_Final.pdf
'Assessing High House Prices: Bubbles, Fundamentals, and Misperceptions' — aeaweb.org/articles?id=10.1257/089533005775196769
'Owner-Occupied Housing and the Composition of the Household Portfolio' — aeaweb.org/articles?id=10.1257/000282802760015775
'Real Estate Investors, the Leverage Cycle, and the Housing Market Crisis' — newyorkfed.org/research/staff_reports/sr514.html
'Owner-Occupied Housing as a Hedge Against Rent Risk' — academic.oup.com/qje/article-abstract/120/2/763/1933972
