Nathaniel Virgo: Towards a mathematical theory of intentional systems @ToposInstitute
Nathaniel Virgo: Towards a mathematical theory of intentional systems  @ToposInstitute
Uploaded September 2025 | Updated September 2026, 2 weeks ago
Topos Institute Colloquium, 4th of September 2025.
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What does it mean for a system to have "beliefs" and take "actions" in service of "goals"? Philosophy and cognitive science have offered a variety of answers to this question, including Dennett's intentional stance, the Bayesian brain hypothesis, and various forms of 'enactivism', among many others. I will talk about several closely related approaches to telling these stories, or simplified versions of them, in a mathematical way. Surprisingly (to me at least), doing so makes them seem much more compatible and closely related than they might at first appear.

Dennett's core idea is that the key question to ask about a system is not whether it is an agent or not, but whether its behaviour can be well described by treating it as one. This entails ascribing beliefs and goals to it, and predicting its behaviour by assuming it will take actions that would bring the goals about if the beliefs were true. For some systems this yields excellent predictions of their behaviour, and the behavioural patterns that enable this can be said to be a real property of the system.

Mathematically this suggests a paradigm where instead of starting with a problem and asking what systems can solve it, we start with a system and ask what problems it can solve. In doing this we are forced to grapple with questions such as what exactly constitutes a belief; how should beliefs change over time in response to new information; what happens if two different belief attributions give rise to the same behaviour; and where should we draw the boundary of a system, if we want to treat it as an agent? Ideas from categorical systems theory and category-theoretic probability are used throughout the work.
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Nathaniel Virgo: "Towards a mathematical theory of intentional systems"

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